New Jersey’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by more than four-to-one and minimal change from recent redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Rob Menendez secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the general election with the structural advantages of incumbency, including established name recognition and fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or a major local disruption, such as an unforeseen scandal or candidate withdrawal, neither of which has materialized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNJ-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NJ-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$14,906 Объем
$14,906 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$14,906 Объем
$14,906 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$9,415 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$5,491 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by more than four-to-one and minimal change from recent redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Rob Menendez secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the general election with the structural advantages of incumbency, including established name recognition and fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or a major local disruption, such as an unforeseen scandal or candidate withdrawal, neither of which has materialized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$14,906Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by more than four-to-one and minimal change from recent redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Rob Menendez secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the general election with the structural advantages of incumbency, including established name recognition and fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or a major local disruption, such as an unforeseen scandal or candidate withdrawal, neither of which has materialized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$14,906Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by more than four-to-one and minimal change from recent redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Rob Menendez secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the general election with the structural advantages of incumbency, including established name recognition and fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or a major local disruption, such as an unforeseen scandal or candidate withdrawal, neither of which has materialized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы