New York’s 13th congressional district carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Democratic Representative Adriano Espaillat faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote, while no competitive Republican has emerged for the November general election. This structural advantage and absence of credible challengers underpin the market’s overwhelming Democratic consensus. A late scandal, unexpected primary upset, or significant shift in turnout patterns could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and current candidate fields indicate such developments remain unlikely to alter the general-election outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-13 House Election Winner
$33,275 ปริมาณ
$33,275 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$33,275 ปริมาณ
$33,275 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Democratic Representative Adriano Espaillat faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote, while no competitive Republican has emerged for the November general election. This structural advantage and absence of credible challengers underpin the market’s overwhelming Democratic consensus. A late scandal, unexpected primary upset, or significant shift in turnout patterns could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and current candidate fields indicate such developments remain unlikely to alter the general-election outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย