Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District by defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 2026 primary, an upset driven by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Justice Democrats organizing, and turnout among progressive voters focused on issues including immigration enforcement and Israel policy. The district, covering parts of upper Manhattan and the Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in general elections. Republican nominee Jomo Williams faces no comparable path to victory given the area’s voter registration and historical results. Trader consensus prices reflect this structural advantage for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November general election, with limited scope for reversal absent extraordinary late developments such as a major candidate withdrawal or unforeseen scandal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$39,925 ปริมาณ
$39,925 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
97%
Jomo Williams (R)
2%
$39,925 ปริมาณ
$39,925 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
$27,409 ปริมาณ
97%
Jomo Williams (R)
$12,516 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District by defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 2026 primary, an upset driven by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Justice Democrats organizing, and turnout among progressive voters focused on issues including immigration enforcement and Israel policy. The district, covering parts of upper Manhattan and the Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in general elections. Republican nominee Jomo Williams faces no comparable path to victory given the area’s voter registration and historical results. Trader consensus prices reflect this structural advantage for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November general election, with limited scope for reversal absent extraordinary late developments such as a major candidate withdrawal or unforeseen scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,925วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District by defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 2026 primary, an upset driven by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Justice Democrats organizing, and turnout among progressive voters focused on issues including immigration enforcement and Israel policy. The district, covering parts of upper Manhattan and the Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in general elections. Republican nominee Jomo Williams faces no comparable path to victory given the area’s voter registration and historical results. Trader consensus prices reflect this structural advantage for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November general election, with limited scope for reversal absent extraordinary late developments such as a major candidate withdrawal or unforeseen scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,925วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District by defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 2026 primary, an upset driven by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Justice Democrats organizing, and turnout among progressive voters focused on issues including immigration enforcement and Israel policy. The district, covering parts of upper Manhattan and the Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in general elections. Republican nominee Jomo Williams faces no comparable path to victory given the area’s voter registration and historical results. Trader consensus prices reflect this structural advantage for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November general election, with limited scope for reversal absent extraordinary late developments such as a major candidate withdrawal or unforeseen scandal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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