Latest KNMI guidance, updated April 17, forecasts a maximum temperature of 16°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's resolution station—under heavy cloud cover with scattered light showers (2 mm total, 50% chance) alternating with limited sun (20% sunshine), westerly winds at force 2 moderating warmth from maritime air. Yet trader consensus clusters around 14°C (37.5% implied probability) and 15°C (28.5%), reflecting Buienradar and similar model runs capping peaks at 14°C due to persistent overcast reducing insolation during peak heating hours (noon-3 PM). Differentiating factors include exact timing of afternoon clearing, shower intensity impacting surface cooling, and ensemble spread amid spring-like variability exceeding April norms of ~13°C highs; watch hourly updates and observations through resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 18?
14°C 38%
15°C 29%
13°C 15%
16°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
15%
14°C
38%
15°C
29%
16°C
10%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 38%
15°C 29%
13°C 15%
16°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
10°C or below
$652 交易量
<1%
11°C
$454 交易量
2%
12°C
$857 交易量
3%
13°C
$679 交易量
15%
14°C
$667 交易量
38%
15°C
$359 交易量
29%
16°C
$1,170 交易量
10%
17°C
$638 交易量
2%
18°C
$1,130 交易量
1%
19°C
$823 交易量
1%
20°C or higher
$1,724 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI guidance, updated April 17, forecasts a maximum temperature of 16°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's resolution station—under heavy cloud cover with scattered light showers (2 mm total, 50% chance) alternating with limited sun (20% sunshine), westerly winds at force 2 moderating warmth from maritime air. Yet trader consensus clusters around 14°C (37.5% implied probability) and 15°C (28.5%), reflecting Buienradar and similar model runs capping peaks at 14°C due to persistent overcast reducing insolation during peak heating hours (noon-3 PM). Differentiating factors include exact timing of afternoon clearing, shower intensity impacting surface cooling, and ensemble spread amid spring-like variability exceeding April norms of ~13°C highs; watch hourly updates and observations through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
交易量
$9,154結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 12:43 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI guidance, updated April 17, forecasts a maximum temperature of 16°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's resolution station—under heavy cloud cover with scattered light showers (2 mm total, 50% chance) alternating with limited sun (20% sunshine), westerly winds at force 2 moderating warmth from maritime air. Yet trader consensus clusters around 14°C (37.5% implied probability) and 15°C (28.5%), reflecting Buienradar and similar model runs capping peaks at 14°C due to persistent overcast reducing insolation during peak heating hours (noon-3 PM). Differentiating factors include exact timing of afternoon clearing, shower intensity impacting surface cooling, and ensemble spread amid spring-like variability exceeding April norms of ~13°C highs; watch hourly updates and observations through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,154結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 12:43 AM ETLatest KNMI guidance, updated April 17, forecasts a maximum temperature of 16°C at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's resolution station—under heavy cloud cover with scattered light showers (2 mm total, 50% chance) alternating with limited sun (20% sunshine), westerly winds at force 2 moderating warmth from maritime air. Yet trader consensus clusters around 14°C (37.5% implied probability) and 15°C (28.5%), reflecting Buienradar and similar model runs capping peaks at 14°C due to persistent overcast reducing insolation during peak heating hours (noon-3 PM). Differentiating factors include exact timing of afternoon clearing, shower intensity impacting surface cooling, and ensemble spread amid spring-like variability exceeding April norms of ~13°C highs; watch hourly updates and observations through resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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