Following a strong cold front's landfall over the southwestern Cape on April 17, South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended guidance and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project partly cloudy skies with isolated showers for Cape Town on April 19, anchoring trader sentiment at a 16°C daily maximum (32.5% market-implied odds). Persistent southerly winds, sea-breeze enhancement, and low-level stratocumulus clouds post-front suppress diurnal heating, boosting probabilities for 14–18°C outcomes (86% combined) versus seasonal norms near 23°C. High uncertainty reflects ensemble spread on afternoon cloud dissipation—clearing could lift to 19°C+, while widespread showers cap at 13–15°C—with SAWS updates and fresh model runs pivotal before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 19?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 19?
16°C 34%
14°C 22%
15°C 22%
18°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
12°C or below
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
34%
17°C
13%
18°C
15%
19°C
7%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
16°C 34%
14°C 22%
15°C 22%
18°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
12°C or below
$195 交易量
2%
13°C
$26 交易量
7%
14°C
$0 交易量
22%
15°C
$16 交易量
22%
16°C
$33 交易量
34%
17°C
$0 交易量
13%
18°C
$0 交易量
15%
19°C
$33 交易量
7%
20°C
$24 交易量
3%
21°C
$41 交易量
1%
22°C or higher
$159 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following a strong cold front's landfall over the southwestern Cape on April 17, South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended guidance and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project partly cloudy skies with isolated showers for Cape Town on April 19, anchoring trader sentiment at a 16°C daily maximum (32.5% market-implied odds). Persistent southerly winds, sea-breeze enhancement, and low-level stratocumulus clouds post-front suppress diurnal heating, boosting probabilities for 14–18°C outcomes (86% combined) versus seasonal norms near 23°C. High uncertainty reflects ensemble spread on afternoon cloud dissipation—clearing could lift to 19°C+, while widespread showers cap at 13–15°C—with SAWS updates and fresh model runs pivotal before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$525結束日期
2026-04-19市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following a strong cold front's landfall over the southwestern Cape on April 17, South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended guidance and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project partly cloudy skies with isolated showers for Cape Town on April 19, anchoring trader sentiment at a 16°C daily maximum (32.5% market-implied odds). Persistent southerly winds, sea-breeze enhancement, and low-level stratocumulus clouds post-front suppress diurnal heating, boosting probabilities for 14–18°C outcomes (86% combined) versus seasonal norms near 23°C. High uncertainty reflects ensemble spread on afternoon cloud dissipation—clearing could lift to 19°C+, while widespread showers cap at 13–15°C—with SAWS updates and fresh model runs pivotal before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$525結束日期
2026-04-19市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFollowing a strong cold front's landfall over the southwestern Cape on April 17, South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended guidance and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project partly cloudy skies with isolated showers for Cape Town on April 19, anchoring trader sentiment at a 16°C daily maximum (32.5% market-implied odds). Persistent southerly winds, sea-breeze enhancement, and low-level stratocumulus clouds post-front suppress diurnal heating, boosting probabilities for 14–18°C outcomes (86% combined) versus seasonal norms near 23°C. High uncertainty reflects ensemble spread on afternoon cloud dissipation—clearing could lift to 19°C+, while widespread showers cap at 13–15°C—with SAWS updates and fresh model runs pivotal before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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