National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance converge on a daily maximum near Chicago’s August 5 climatological normal of 83.6 °F, with mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds favoring modest diurnal warming but limited by modest boundary-layer moisture. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering between the 80–81 °F (39.5 %) and 82–83 °F (33.0 %) bins, as small differences in 850-hPa temperature advection and afternoon cloud cover can shift the peak by a degree or two. Traders monitor the next NWS update for any revisions in mixing depth or shortwave ridging that could push readings into the lower-probability 84–85 °F range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥8月5日最高溫度？
芝加哥8月5日最高溫度？
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 32%
78-79°F 19%
84-85°F 8.8%
$30,157 交易量
$30,157 交易量
2026-08-05
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
華氏94度或更高
<1%
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 32%
78-79°F 19%
84-85°F 8.8%
$30,157 交易量
$30,157 交易量
2026-08-05
華氏75度或以下
$7,350 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$3,070 交易量
7%
78-79°F
$2,302 交易量
19%
80-81°F
$4,239 交易量
41%
82-83°F
$2,038 交易量
32%
84-85°F
$4,661 交易量
9%
86-87°F
$2,304 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$2,639 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$547 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$524 交易量
<1%
華氏94度或更高
$483 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance converge on a daily maximum near Chicago’s August 5 climatological normal of 83.6 °F, with mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds favoring modest diurnal warming but limited by modest boundary-layer moisture. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering between the 80–81 °F (39.5 %) and 82–83 °F (33.0 %) bins, as small differences in 850-hPa temperature advection and afternoon cloud cover can shift the peak by a degree or two. Traders monitor the next NWS update for any revisions in mixing depth or shortwave ridging that could push readings into the lower-probability 84–85 °F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$30,157結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance converge on a daily maximum near Chicago’s August 5 climatological normal of 83.6 °F, with mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds favoring modest diurnal warming but limited by modest boundary-layer moisture. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering between the 80–81 °F (39.5 %) and 82–83 °F (33.0 %) bins, as small differences in 850-hPa temperature advection and afternoon cloud cover can shift the peak by a degree or two. Traders monitor the next NWS update for any revisions in mixing depth or shortwave ridging that could push readings into the lower-probability 84–85 °F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,157結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance converge on a daily maximum near Chicago’s August 5 climatological normal of 83.6 °F, with mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds favoring modest diurnal warming but limited by modest boundary-layer moisture. This consensus underpins the market’s tight clustering between the 80–81 °F (39.5 %) and 82–83 °F (33.0 %) bins, as small differences in 850-hPa temperature advection and afternoon cloud cover can shift the peak by a degree or two. Traders monitor the next NWS update for any revisions in mixing depth or shortwave ridging that could push readings into the lower-probability 84–85 °F range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions