Following early April 2026's record rainfall and cold spell that suppressed temperatures below climatological norms, Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and global models like GFS now project Karachi's April 17 high near 34°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, low humidity below 40%, and hazy conditions that enhance solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this tight 33-35°C range—36% implied probability for 35°C or higher versus 31% for 33°C and 29% for 34°C—driven by uncertainty in sea breeze strength and timing, which could cap peaks if onshore winds strengthen post-noon, versus urban heat island effects pushing hotter. PMD's daily bulletin on April 16 will refine model consensus amid historical mid-April averages of 33-34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
35°C or higher 49%
33°C 27%
34°C 18%
32°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
13%
33°C
27%
34°C
27%
35°C or higher
36%
35°C or higher 49%
33°C 27%
34°C 18%
32°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
13%
33°C
27%
34°C
27%
35°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Following early April 2026's record rainfall and cold spell that suppressed temperatures below climatological norms, Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and global models like GFS now project Karachi's April 17 high near 34°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, low humidity below 40%, and hazy conditions that enhance solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this tight 33-35°C range—36% implied probability for 35°C or higher versus 31% for 33°C and 29% for 34°C—driven by uncertainty in sea breeze strength and timing, which could cap peaks if onshore winds strengthen post-noon, versus urban heat island effects pushing hotter. PMD's daily bulletin on April 16 will refine model consensus amid historical mid-April averages of 33-34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions