Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast for Munich indicates a midday high around 14°C rising to 16°C late afternoon under mild southerly flow and partial sunshine, rebounding from April 14's cooler 11°C maximum amid showers. This drives trader consensus with 15°C (35.5%) edging 16°C or higher (30.0%) and 14°C (26.5%), mirroring tight ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models where cloud cover variability and solar insolation represent key differentiators—persistent low clouds could cap at 14°C, while clearing skies enable 16°C+. Historical April averages near 13-14°C contextualize the modest warming, with resolution hinging on Munich airport observations through evening. New hourly updates from DWD may sharpen odds as insolation accumulates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 15?
15°C 31%
16°C or higher 27%
14°C 27%
13°C 14.3%
$46,129 交易量
$46,129 交易量
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
6%
13°C
14%
14°C
27%
15°C
31%
16°C or higher
27%
15°C 31%
16°C or higher 27%
14°C 27%
13°C 14.3%
$46,129 交易量
$46,129 交易量
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
6%
13°C
14%
14°C
27%
15°C
31%
16°C or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast for Munich indicates a midday high around 14°C rising to 16°C late afternoon under mild southerly flow and partial sunshine, rebounding from April 14's cooler 11°C maximum amid showers. This drives trader consensus with 15°C (35.5%) edging 16°C or higher (30.0%) and 14°C (26.5%), mirroring tight ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models where cloud cover variability and solar insolation represent key differentiators—persistent low clouds could cap at 14°C, while clearing skies enable 16°C+. Historical April averages near 13-14°C contextualize the modest warming, with resolution hinging on Munich airport observations through evening. New hourly updates from DWD may sharpen odds as insolation accumulates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions