Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Paris's highest temperature at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, with 18°C (40%) edging 19°C (31%) amid morning observations hovering around 14-15°C per METAR reports. Météo-France's latest forecast indicates partly cloudy skies with slow-moving clouds from the northwest quarter, potentially limiting afternoon insolation and capping peaks near 18°C, while clearer intervals could boost boundary-layer heating to 19°C. Light winds and high pressure favor mild spring norms (April average ~16°C), but model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show slight divergence on cloud timing. Watch intraday updates through evening for resolution-defining max temps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月15日巴黎最高溫度?
4月15日巴黎最高溫度?
18°C 41%
19°C 31%
17°C 16.3%
20°C 11%
$53,248 交易量
$53,248 交易量
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
16%
18°C
41%
19°C
31%
20°C
11%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
18°C 41%
19°C 31%
17°C 16.3%
20°C 11%
$53,248 交易量
$53,248 交易量
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
16%
18°C
41%
19°C
31%
20°C
11%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Paris's highest temperature at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, with 18°C (40%) edging 19°C (31%) amid morning observations hovering around 14-15°C per METAR reports. Météo-France's latest forecast indicates partly cloudy skies with slow-moving clouds from the northwest quarter, potentially limiting afternoon insolation and capping peaks near 18°C, while clearer intervals could boost boundary-layer heating to 19°C. Light winds and high pressure favor mild spring norms (April average ~16°C), but model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show slight divergence on cloud timing. Watch intraday updates through evening for resolution-defining max temps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions