Recent 00Z runs from the GFS and ECMWF models have solidified trader consensus for Chicago's high temperature near 74-78°F at O'Hare International Airport, fueled by a broad warm surge across the eastern U.S. bringing summer-like conditions well above the April 15 normal of 59°F. However, the closely matched implied probabilities for 74°F or higher (39.5%) and 72-73°F (34.0%) reflect uncertainty from a 30-40% chance of scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms, which could enhance cloud cover and suppress peak heating if they develop early. National Weather Service updates highlight this convective risk amid southwesterly winds of 10-15 mph, with intraday observations and hourly forecast refinements likely to sharpen resolution as the afternoon progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on April 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 15?
74°F or higher 42%
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 11%
68-69°F 5.9%
最新
$70,422 交易量
最新
$70,422 交易量
2026-04-15
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
35%
74°F or higher
42%
74°F or higher 42%
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 11%
68-69°F 5.9%
最新
$70,422 交易量
最新
$70,422 交易量
2026-04-15
55°F or below
$15,727 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$1,765 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$12,928 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$1,015 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$2,447 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$3,652 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$8,069 交易量
4%
68-69°F
$7,112 交易量
6%
70-71°F
$5,044 交易量
11%
72-73°F
$3,994 交易量
35%
74°F or higher
$8,879 交易量
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent 00Z runs from the GFS and ECMWF models have solidified trader consensus for Chicago's high temperature near 74-78°F at O'Hare International Airport, fueled by a broad warm surge across the eastern U.S. bringing summer-like conditions well above the April 15 normal of 59°F. However, the closely matched implied probabilities for 74°F or higher (39.5%) and 72-73°F (34.0%) reflect uncertainty from a 30-40% chance of scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms, which could enhance cloud cover and suppress peak heating if they develop early. National Weather Service updates highlight this convective risk amid southwesterly winds of 10-15 mph, with intraday observations and hourly forecast refinements likely to sharpen resolution as the afternoon progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
交易量
$70,422結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent 00Z runs from the GFS and ECMWF models have solidified trader consensus for Chicago's high temperature near 74-78°F at O'Hare International Airport, fueled by a broad warm surge across the eastern U.S. bringing summer-like conditions well above the April 15 normal of 59°F. However, the closely matched implied probabilities for 74°F or higher (39.5%) and 72-73°F (34.0%) reflect uncertainty from a 30-40% chance of scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms, which could enhance cloud cover and suppress peak heating if they develop early. National Weather Service updates highlight this convective risk amid southwesterly winds of 10-15 mph, with intraday observations and hourly forecast refinements likely to sharpen resolution as the afternoon progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$70,422結束日期
2026-04-15市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETRecent 00Z runs from the GFS and ECMWF models have solidified trader consensus for Chicago's high temperature near 74-78°F at O'Hare International Airport, fueled by a broad warm surge across the eastern U.S. bringing summer-like conditions well above the April 15 normal of 59°F. However, the closely matched implied probabilities for 74°F or higher (39.5%) and 72-73°F (34.0%) reflect uncertainty from a 30-40% chance of scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms, which could enhance cloud cover and suppress peak heating if they develop early. National Weather Service updates highlight this convective risk amid southwesterly winds of 10-15 mph, with intraday observations and hourly forecast refinements likely to sharpen resolution as the afternoon progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions