Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 86-87°F at 42% implied probability, closely trailed by 84-85°F at 34.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for Atlanta's mid-afternoon peak under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating. Current observations at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport show temperatures already reaching 85°F amid low relative humidity around 24% and dewpoints near 45°F, amplifying warming on parched surfaces during this dry spell that has prompted fire danger statements. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs—some capping at 85°F due to potential thin high clouds or urban boundary layer effects—versus hotter scenarios nearing the April 15 record of 87°F with sustained light southerly winds. Final hourly updates from NOAA through evening will clarify resolution as climatological normals of 74°F are surpassed by 12-13°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 15?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 15?
86-87°F 41%
84-85°F 37%
88-89°F 19%
82-83°F 7%
$47,228 交易量
$47,228 交易量
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 41%
84-85°F 37%
88-89°F 19%
82-83°F 7%
$47,228 交易量
$47,228 交易量
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 86-87°F at 42% implied probability, closely trailed by 84-85°F at 34.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for Atlanta's mid-afternoon peak under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating. Current observations at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport show temperatures already reaching 85°F amid low relative humidity around 24% and dewpoints near 45°F, amplifying warming on parched surfaces during this dry spell that has prompted fire danger statements. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs—some capping at 85°F due to potential thin high clouds or urban boundary layer effects—versus hotter scenarios nearing the April 15 record of 87°F with sustained light southerly winds. Final hourly updates from NOAA through evening will clarify resolution as climatological normals of 74°F are surpassed by 12-13°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions