Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42.5% implied probability for a 20°C high in Ankara today, reflecting the latest forecast model runs from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projecting daytime peaks of 19–21°C under a high-pressure ridge bringing partly cloudy skies and light winds. Overnight lows near 5–6°C observed at Esenboğa Airport station enable strong diurnal heating from ample solar insolation, above the April climatological average of 17.3°C. Recent 24-hour updates show model convergence after cooler April 14 actuals around 18°C, with minimal precipitation risk (under 5%) maximizing warming potential. Hourly observations through late afternoon will refine the peak, amid typical spring uncertainties in cloud cover and ridge persistence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 15?
20°C 43%
19°C 34%
18°C 16%
21°C 5.9%
$40,849 交易量
$40,849 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
16%
19°C
34%
20°C
43%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
20°C 43%
19°C 34%
18°C 16%
21°C 5.9%
$40,849 交易量
$40,849 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
16%
19°C
34%
20°C
43%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42.5% implied probability for a 20°C high in Ankara today, reflecting the latest forecast model runs from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projecting daytime peaks of 19–21°C under a high-pressure ridge bringing partly cloudy skies and light winds. Overnight lows near 5–6°C observed at Esenboğa Airport station enable strong diurnal heating from ample solar insolation, above the April climatological average of 17.3°C. Recent 24-hour updates show model convergence after cooler April 14 actuals around 18°C, with minimal precipitation risk (under 5%) maximizing warming potential. Hourly observations through late afternoon will refine the peak, amid typical spring uncertainties in cloud cover and ridge persistence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions