Environment Canada's forecast update issued 3:30 PM EDT on April 14 projects a high of 21°C for Toronto today, with cloudy conditions, 60% chance of showers, and thunderstorm risk early, positioning 20°C (36.5% market-implied probability), 19°C (24%), and 21°C (19.5%) as leading outcomes amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. This consensus stems from a spring warming trend ushering mild southerly air masses well above seasonal normals of 12°C, as seen in recent highs reaching 21°C earlier this week. Hourly guidance peaks at 21°C around 5 PM EDT, but cloud cover and 40% precipitation probability near maximum temperatures could cap or slightly lower the high. Traders track real-time observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport, official source for resolution, with new data expected to refine probabilities through afternoon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on April 15?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 15?
20°C 36%
19°C 23%
21°C 22%
18°C or below 14%
$35,334 交易量
$35,334 交易量
18°C or below
14%
19°C
23%
20°C
36%
21°C
22%
22°C
8%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
20°C 36%
19°C 23%
21°C 22%
18°C or below 14%
$35,334 交易量
$35,334 交易量
18°C or below
14%
19°C
23%
20°C
36%
21°C
22%
22°C
8%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Environment Canada's forecast update issued 3:30 PM EDT on April 14 projects a high of 21°C for Toronto today, with cloudy conditions, 60% chance of showers, and thunderstorm risk early, positioning 20°C (36.5% market-implied probability), 19°C (24%), and 21°C (19.5%) as leading outcomes amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. This consensus stems from a spring warming trend ushering mild southerly air masses well above seasonal normals of 12°C, as seen in recent highs reaching 21°C earlier this week. Hourly guidance peaks at 21°C around 5 PM EDT, but cloud cover and 40% precipitation probability near maximum temperatures could cap or slightly lower the high. Traders track real-time observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport, official source for resolution, with new data expected to refine probabilities through afternoon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions