Recent official guidance from Météo-France highlights a cooldown in Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs around 25–26°C expected for August 7 as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures after earlier warmth. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, favoring values near the seasonal climatological average of 24–26°C while allowing room for slight upward revisions if daytime heating strengthens under clearer skies. This positions the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and typical Paris summer variability rather than heat-wave conditions. No major blocking patterns or tropical influences are indicated in current guidance, keeping probabilities for 29°C or higher low and aligning with stable, near-normal late-summer dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日巴黎最高溫度？
8月7日巴黎最高溫度？
27°C 49%
28°C 28%
26°C 18%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
49%
28°C
28%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 49%
28°C 28%
26°C 18%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
23°C or below
$5 交易量
2%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$77 交易量
4%
26°C
$34 交易量
18%
27°C
$223 交易量
49%
28°C
$103 交易量
28%
29°C
$69 交易量
5%
30°C
$16 交易量
3%
31°C
$17 交易量
1%
32°C
$10 交易量
2%
33°C or higher
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Météo-France highlights a cooldown in Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs around 25–26°C expected for August 7 as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures after earlier warmth. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, favoring values near the seasonal climatological average of 24–26°C while allowing room for slight upward revisions if daytime heating strengthens under clearer skies. This positions the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and typical Paris summer variability rather than heat-wave conditions. No major blocking patterns or tropical influences are indicated in current guidance, keeping probabilities for 29°C or higher low and aligning with stable, near-normal late-summer dynamics.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$565結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Météo-France highlights a cooldown in Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs around 25–26°C expected for August 7 as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures after earlier warmth. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, favoring values near the seasonal climatological average of 24–26°C while allowing room for slight upward revisions if daytime heating strengthens under clearer skies. This positions the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and typical Paris summer variability rather than heat-wave conditions. No major blocking patterns or tropical influences are indicated in current guidance, keeping probabilities for 29°C or higher low and aligning with stable, near-normal late-summer dynamics.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$565結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent official guidance from Météo-France highlights a cooldown in Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs around 25–26°C expected for August 7 as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures after earlier warmth. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, favoring values near the seasonal climatological average of 24–26°C while allowing room for slight upward revisions if daytime heating strengthens under clearer skies. This positions the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and typical Paris summer variability rather than heat-wave conditions. No major blocking patterns or tropical influences are indicated in current guidance, keeping probabilities for 29°C or higher low and aligning with stable, near-normal late-summer dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions