Current meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models points to a daytime maximum of 31°C on May 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical early-summer humidity that limits peak solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This aligns closely with mid-May climatology, where average highs range from 29–30°C amid rising monsoon influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of brief clearing or reduced moisture that could push readings higher. Official resolution will depend on the recorded maximum at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; any last-hour model shifts or localized variability remain the primary uncertainties.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 23?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 23?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$64,313 交易量
$64,313 交易量
2026-05-23
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$64,313 交易量
$64,313 交易量
2026-05-23
24°C or below
$473 交易量
No
25°C
$463 交易量
No
26°C
$681 交易量
No
27°C
$1,391 交易量
No
28°C
$3,099 交易量
No
29°C
$10,234 交易量
No
30°C
$7,892 交易量
No
31°C
$9,883 交易量
Yes
32°C
$9,545 交易量
No
33°C
$9,049 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$11,602 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models points to a daytime maximum of 31°C on May 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical early-summer humidity that limits peak solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This aligns closely with mid-May climatology, where average highs range from 29–30°C amid rising monsoon influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of brief clearing or reduced moisture that could push readings higher. Official resolution will depend on the recorded maximum at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; any last-hour model shifts or localized variability remain the primary uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 21, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
交易量
$64,313結束日期
2026-05-23市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 6:21 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models points to a daytime maximum of 31°C on May 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical early-summer humidity that limits peak solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This aligns closely with mid-May climatology, where average highs range from 29–30°C amid rising monsoon influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of brief clearing or reduced moisture that could push readings higher. Official resolution will depend on the recorded maximum at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; any last-hour model shifts or localized variability remain the primary uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$64,313結束日期
2026-05-23市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 6:21 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models points to a daytime maximum of 31°C on May 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical early-summer humidity that limits peak solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This aligns closely with mid-May climatology, where average highs range from 29–30°C amid rising monsoon influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of brief clearing or reduced moisture that could push readings higher. Official resolution will depend on the recorded maximum at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; any last-hour model shifts or localized variability remain the primary uncertainties.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions