Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 8?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 8?
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$91,040 交易量
$91,040 交易量
2026-05-08
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$91,040 交易量
$91,040 交易量
2026-05-08
8°C or below
$738 交易量
No
9°C
$1,271 交易量
No
10°C
$2,234 交易量
No
11°C
$6,695 交易量
No
12°C
$12,295 交易量
Yes
13°C
$13,393 交易量
No
14°C
$21,968 交易量
No
15°C
$11,371 交易量
No
16°C
$7,036 交易量
No
17°C
$6,967 交易量
No
18°C or higher
$7,070 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$91,040結束日期
2026-05-08市場開放時間
May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$91,040結束日期
2026-05-08市場開放時間
May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions