Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show Paris minimum temperatures on August 25 clustering around 15–17°C, positioning the 16°C outcome as the market leader amid a post-heatwave transition across western Europe. A shift to increased cloud cover, modest northerly advection, and scattered showers has reduced radiative cooling and limited overnight drops below seasonal norms of 14–16°C for late August. These conditions reflect the end of multiple mid-August heat domes, with model consensus favoring mild lows unless clearer skies develop. Traders are watching the next high-resolution runs for adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift probabilities within the narrow 15–17°C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日巴黎最低溫度？
8月25日巴黎最低溫度？
16°C 50%
17°C 33%
15°C 24%
14°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
12°C或以下
3%
13°C
5%
14°C
6%
15°C
24%
16°C
50%
17°C
33%
18°C
6%
19°C
6%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C或以上
<1%
16°C 50%
17°C 33%
15°C 24%
14°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
12°C或以下
$5 交易量
3%
13°C
$31 交易量
5%
14°C
$5 交易量
6%
15°C
$0 交易量
24%
16°C
$0 交易量
50%
17°C
$5 交易量
33%
18°C
$20 交易量
6%
19°C
$0 交易量
6%
20°C
$0 交易量
4%
21°C
$53 交易量
3%
22°C或以上
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show Paris minimum temperatures on August 25 clustering around 15–17°C, positioning the 16°C outcome as the market leader amid a post-heatwave transition across western Europe. A shift to increased cloud cover, modest northerly advection, and scattered showers has reduced radiative cooling and limited overnight drops below seasonal norms of 14–16°C for late August. These conditions reflect the end of multiple mid-August heat domes, with model consensus favoring mild lows unless clearer skies develop. Traders are watching the next high-resolution runs for adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift probabilities within the narrow 15–17°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$123結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show Paris minimum temperatures on August 25 clustering around 15–17°C, positioning the 16°C outcome as the market leader amid a post-heatwave transition across western Europe. A shift to increased cloud cover, modest northerly advection, and scattered showers has reduced radiative cooling and limited overnight drops below seasonal norms of 14–16°C for late August. These conditions reflect the end of multiple mid-August heat domes, with model consensus favoring mild lows unless clearer skies develop. Traders are watching the next high-resolution runs for adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift probabilities within the narrow 15–17°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$123結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show Paris minimum temperatures on August 25 clustering around 15–17°C, positioning the 16°C outcome as the market leader amid a post-heatwave transition across western Europe. A shift to increased cloud cover, modest northerly advection, and scattered showers has reduced radiative cooling and limited overnight drops below seasonal norms of 14–16°C for late August. These conditions reflect the end of multiple mid-August heat domes, with model consensus favoring mild lows unless clearer skies develop. Traders are watching the next high-resolution runs for adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could shift probabilities within the narrow 15–17°C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions