Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on May 22, closely matching the late-May climatological average of 26–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating, and minimal cloud cover. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C or higher, as regional data show limited variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Model consensus indicates only modest deviations, with brief showers unlikely to produce meaningful evaporative cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected northerly airflow surge or persistent rain bands, though current runs assign low probability to such rapid shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 22?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 22?
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$14,584 交易量
$14,584 交易量
2026-05-22
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$14,584 交易量
$14,584 交易量
2026-05-22
14°C or below
$432 交易量
No
15°C
$185 交易量
No
16°C
$2,094 交易量
No
17°C
$265 交易量
No
18°C
$447 交易量
No
19°C
$446 交易量
No
20°C
$647 交易量
No
21°C
$680 交易量
No
22°C
$2,808 交易量
No
23°C
$3,777 交易量
No
24°C or higher
$2,804 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on May 22, closely matching the late-May climatological average of 26–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating, and minimal cloud cover. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C or higher, as regional data show limited variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Model consensus indicates only modest deviations, with brief showers unlikely to produce meaningful evaporative cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected northerly airflow surge or persistent rain bands, though current runs assign low probability to such rapid shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 20, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
交易量
$14,584结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 12:35 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on May 22, closely matching the late-May climatological average of 26–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating, and minimal cloud cover. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C or higher, as regional data show limited variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Model consensus indicates only modest deviations, with brief showers unlikely to produce meaningful evaporative cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected northerly airflow surge or persistent rain bands, though current runs assign low probability to such rapid shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,584结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 12:35 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 25–26°C in Mexico City on May 22, closely matching the late-May climatological average of 26–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating, and minimal cloud cover. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C or higher, as regional data show limited variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Model consensus indicates only modest deviations, with brief showers unlikely to produce meaningful evaporative cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected northerly airflow surge or persistent rain bands, though current runs assign low probability to such rapid shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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