National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 70-71°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 30 under mostly sunny conditions with light north-northwest winds, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 64°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This setup features a stable upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest suppressing cloud cover and supporting above-normal warmth, following recent days of similar highs amid a spring warming trend—April climatological normals hover around 60°F. Current observations show morning temperatures rebounding from overnight lows near 55°F into the 60s midday. Realistic challenges include unforeseen marine layer development or abrupt wind shift bringing cooler air, though high forecast confidence and lack of such indicators make this unlikely ahead of evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on April 30?
64°F or higher 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$33,331 交易量
$33,331 交易量
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
Yes
64°F or higher 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$33,331 交易量
$33,331 交易量
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 28, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 70-71°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 30 under mostly sunny conditions with light north-northwest winds, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 64°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This setup features a stable upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest suppressing cloud cover and supporting above-normal warmth, following recent days of similar highs amid a spring warming trend—April climatological normals hover around 60°F. Current observations show morning temperatures rebounding from overnight lows near 55°F into the 60s midday. Realistic challenges include unforeseen marine layer development or abrupt wind shift bringing cooler air, though high forecast confidence and lack of such indicators make this unlikely ahead of evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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警惕外部链接哦。
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