MetService's latest forecast for Wellington International Airport Station, the market's resolution source, pins today's maximum temperature at 17°C under fine conditions with light winds, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. Current early-morning observations show temperatures around 9–10°C with clear skies, aligning with model runs expecting a gradual warmup to mid-teens without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. April climatology supports this, with Wellington's average highs near 17°C amid a settled high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include unexpected northerly gusts accelerating warming to 18°C or persistent low cloud capping it below, though updated hourly observations from MetService throughout the day will refine this as the market nears close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 26?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$84,730 交易量
$84,730 交易量
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$84,730 交易量
$84,730 交易量
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
MetService's latest forecast for Wellington International Airport Station, the market's resolution source, pins today's maximum temperature at 17°C under fine conditions with light winds, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. Current early-morning observations show temperatures around 9–10°C with clear skies, aligning with model runs expecting a gradual warmup to mid-teens without significant cloud interference or frontal activity. April climatology supports this, with Wellington's average highs near 17°C amid a settled high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include unexpected northerly gusts accelerating warming to 18°C or persistent low cloud capping it below, though updated hourly observations from MetService throughout the day will refine this as the market nears close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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警惕外部链接哦。
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