Uncertainty in short-term forecast models for overnight radiative cooling drives the tight clustering around 74–75°F, 80–81°F, and 82–83°F for Houston’s August 28 low. Subtropical humidity and typical late-summer moisture limit surface cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds determine how much heat escapes after sunset. Clearer skies could push readings toward the lower 70s, whereas persistent low-level moisture or a weak sea-breeze circulation favors the upper 70s to low 80s. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer stability and dewpoint forecasts, keeping trader probabilities balanced across these ranges rather than converging on a single outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日休斯顿最低温度？
8月28日休斯顿最低温度？
70-71°F 49%
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 39%
78-79°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 49%
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 39%
78-79°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
67°F or below
$162 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$62 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$98 交易量
49%
72-73°F
$37 交易量
3%
74-75°F
$19 交易量
39%
76-77°F
$20 交易量
4%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
6%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
39%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
39%
84-85°F
$69 交易量
<1%
86°F or higher
$93 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in short-term forecast models for overnight radiative cooling drives the tight clustering around 74–75°F, 80–81°F, and 82–83°F for Houston’s August 28 low. Subtropical humidity and typical late-summer moisture limit surface cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds determine how much heat escapes after sunset. Clearer skies could push readings toward the lower 70s, whereas persistent low-level moisture or a weak sea-breeze circulation favors the upper 70s to low 80s. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer stability and dewpoint forecasts, keeping trader probabilities balanced across these ranges rather than converging on a single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$560结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in short-term forecast models for overnight radiative cooling drives the tight clustering around 74–75°F, 80–81°F, and 82–83°F for Houston’s August 28 low. Subtropical humidity and typical late-summer moisture limit surface cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds determine how much heat escapes after sunset. Clearer skies could push readings toward the lower 70s, whereas persistent low-level moisture or a weak sea-breeze circulation favors the upper 70s to low 80s. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer stability and dewpoint forecasts, keeping trader probabilities balanced across these ranges rather than converging on a single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$560结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETUncertainty in short-term forecast models for overnight radiative cooling drives the tight clustering around 74–75°F, 80–81°F, and 82–83°F for Houston’s August 28 low. Subtropical humidity and typical late-summer moisture limit surface cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds determine how much heat escapes after sunset. Clearer skies could push readings toward the lower 70s, whereas persistent low-level moisture or a weak sea-breeze circulation favors the upper 70s to low 80s. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer stability and dewpoint forecasts, keeping trader probabilities balanced across these ranges rather than converging on a single outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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