Ensemble forecasts from leading global models like ECMWF and GFS strongly cluster around a 12°C high temperature for Moscow on April 13, anchoring trader consensus at 92% implied probability for 11°C or higher amid a transition from the recent cold snap—highs of just 5.3°C on April 11 under cloudy, northerly flow. Warmer southerly winds and high-pressure ridging are expected to boost daytime maxima above the early-April climatological average of 10–11°C, per historical data from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud cover increasing albedo effects or a late cold front, though model agreement limits such risks; watch overnight updates from these agencies for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
11°C or higher 93%
10°C 3.7%
9°C 2.1%
8°C 1.1%
$13,828 Vol.
$13,828 Vol.
13 abr 2026
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C or higher
93%
11°C or higher 93%
10°C 3.7%
9°C 2.1%
8°C 1.1%
$13,828 Vol.
$13,828 Vol.
13 abr 2026
1°C or below
$797 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$1,874 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$1,688 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$1,639 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,025 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,319 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$665 Vol.
1%
9°C
$759 Vol.
2%
10°C
$985 Vol.
4%
11°C or higher
$1,834 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading global models like ECMWF and GFS strongly cluster around a 12°C high temperature for Moscow on April 13, anchoring trader consensus at 92% implied probability for 11°C or higher amid a transition from the recent cold snap—highs of just 5.3°C on April 11 under cloudy, northerly flow. Warmer southerly winds and high-pressure ridging are expected to boost daytime maxima above the early-April climatological average of 10–11°C, per historical data from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud cover increasing albedo effects or a late cold front, though model agreement limits such risks; watch overnight updates from these agencies for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$13,828Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading global models like ECMWF and GFS strongly cluster around a 12°C high temperature for Moscow on April 13, anchoring trader consensus at 92% implied probability for 11°C or higher amid a transition from the recent cold snap—highs of just 5.3°C on April 11 under cloudy, northerly flow. Warmer southerly winds and high-pressure ridging are expected to boost daytime maxima above the early-April climatological average of 10–11°C, per historical data from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud cover increasing albedo effects or a late cold front, though model agreement limits such risks; watch overnight updates from these agencies for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,828Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from leading global models like ECMWF and GFS strongly cluster around a 12°C high temperature for Moscow on April 13, anchoring trader consensus at 92% implied probability for 11°C or higher amid a transition from the recent cold snap—highs of just 5.3°C on April 11 under cloudy, northerly flow. Warmer southerly winds and high-pressure ridging are expected to boost daytime maxima above the early-April climatological average of 10–11°C, per historical data from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud cover increasing albedo effects or a late cold front, though model agreement limits such risks; watch overnight updates from these agencies for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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