Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (42% implied probability) or 13°C (23%) in Moscow on April 17, driven by the latest Gismeteo forecast—powered by METEOFOR models—and corroborating ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs projecting a midday peak near 13°C around 3 p.m. local time under southerly winds of 14-22 km/h and dry conditions, with pressure slightly falling. These align with recent hourly guidance from AccuWeather and Yandex Weather, reflecting a mild spring setup slightly above April's historical average high of 10-11°C amid stable atmospheric patterns. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential shortwave trough influences, but new observational data from Vnukovo Airport stations will refine probabilities as the day unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
12°C 41%
13°C 24%
11°C 17%
14°C 13%
$16,373 Vol.
$16,373 Vol.
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
7%
11°C
17%
12°C
41%
13°C
24%
14°C
13%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 41%
13°C 24%
11°C 17%
14°C 13%
$16,373 Vol.
$16,373 Vol.
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
7%
11°C
17%
12°C
41%
13°C
24%
14°C
13%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (42% implied probability) or 13°C (23%) in Moscow on April 17, driven by the latest Gismeteo forecast—powered by METEOFOR models—and corroborating ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs projecting a midday peak near 13°C around 3 p.m. local time under southerly winds of 14-22 km/h and dry conditions, with pressure slightly falling. These align with recent hourly guidance from AccuWeather and Yandex Weather, reflecting a mild spring setup slightly above April's historical average high of 10-11°C amid stable atmospheric patterns. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to potential shortwave trough influences, but new observational data from Vnukovo Airport stations will refine probabilities as the day unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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