Kash Patel out by...?

Name: Kash Patel out by...?
Start: 2026-02-23T18:19:41.837Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Kash Patel out by...? — Discussion

ineedmassage · 2026-02-23T18:19:41.837Z

Discussion about Kash Patel out by...?. Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

Politics·Trump

Kash Patel out by...?

$255,883 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

April 30

$123,505 Vol.

June 30

$57,746 Vol.

30%

December 31

$32,041 Vol.

61%

$255,883 Vol.

April 30

$123,505 Vol.

June 30

$57,746 Vol.

30%

December 31

$32,041 Vol.

61%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?

24%

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

29%

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kash Patel out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 61%, followed by "June 30" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kash Patel out by...?" has generated $255.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kash Patel out by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kash Patel out by...?" is "December 31" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kash Patel out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Kash Patel out by...?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $255.9K traded on “Kash Patel out by...?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Kash Patel out by...?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 61¢ for "December 31" in the "Kash Patel out by...?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 61% chance that "December 31" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 61¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 39¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

This market will resolve when the event's official outcome is determined. Check the "Rules" section on this page for the specific resolution criteria and timing.

The "Kash Patel out by...?" market has an active community of 12 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Kash Patel out by...?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

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Comments (12)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

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