The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reports no magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia on April 1, 2026, and the preceding M7.3 near Luganville, Vanuatu on March 30—both at subduction zones where tectonic plates converge. These align with the global historical average of 15-20 M7+ quakes annually, occurring roughly every 18-24 days amid steady plate motion rates of centimeters per year. Short-term prediction remains impossible due to complex fault dynamics and stress accumulation, though USGS issues aftershock forecasts for recent sequences. Traders monitoring for market resolution should track real-time USGS data feeds and significant earthquake lists, as any qualifying event would trigger immediate confirmation via official magnitude assessments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUn autre séisme de 7,0 ou plus de... ?
Un autre séisme de 7,0 ou plus de... ?
$44,811 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
30 avril
37%
$44,811 Vol.
30 avril
$12,397 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reports no magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia on April 1, 2026, and the preceding M7.3 near Luganville, Vanuatu on March 30—both at subduction zones where tectonic plates converge. These align with the global historical average of 15-20 M7+ quakes annually, occurring roughly every 18-24 days amid steady plate motion rates of centimeters per year. Short-term prediction remains impossible due to complex fault dynamics and stress accumulation, though USGS issues aftershock forecasts for recent sequences. Traders monitoring for market resolution should track real-time USGS data feeds and significant earthquake lists, as any qualifying event would trigger immediate confirmation via official magnitude assessments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Volume
$44,811Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reports no magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia on April 1, 2026, and the preceding M7.3 near Luganville, Vanuatu on March 30—both at subduction zones where tectonic plates converge. These align with the global historical average of 15-20 M7+ quakes annually, occurring roughly every 18-24 days amid steady plate motion rates of centimeters per year. Short-term prediction remains impossible due to complex fault dynamics and stress accumulation, though USGS issues aftershock forecasts for recent sequences. Traders monitoring for market resolution should track real-time USGS data feeds and significant earthquake lists, as any qualifying event would trigger immediate confirmation via official magnitude assessments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$44,811Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reports no magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia on April 1, 2026, and the preceding M7.3 near Luganville, Vanuatu on March 30—both at subduction zones where tectonic plates converge. These align with the global historical average of 15-20 M7+ quakes annually, occurring roughly every 18-24 days amid steady plate motion rates of centimeters per year. Short-term prediction remains impossible due to complex fault dynamics and stress accumulation, though USGS issues aftershock forecasts for recent sequences. Traders monitoring for market resolution should track real-time USGS data feeds and significant earthquake lists, as any qualifying event would trigger immediate confirmation via official magnitude assessments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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