Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward an 18°C high in Amsterdam on April 17 (42.5% implied probability) over 19°C (36.0%), driven by the latest KNMI operational forecast of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and a 30% chance of light showers. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS exhibit a 3–5°C spread clustering around 18–20°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud fraction that could limit or enhance solar insolation and boundary layer heating. Weeronline aligns at 19°C with minimal precipitation, while Ventusky (ECMWF) shows near 19°C in mostly clear conditions. Above-seasonal norms (April average ~13°C) stem from a high-pressure ridge ushering mild Atlantic air, but new overnight model runs and April 16 observations may refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
18°C 41%
19°C 39%
20°C 12%
17°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$12,373 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,373 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
41%
19°C
39%
20°C
12%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 41%
19°C 39%
20°C 12%
17°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$12,373 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,373 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
12°C or below
$1,373 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,258 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,467 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,524 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,784 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,621 Vol.
8%
18°C
$259 Vol.
41%
19°C
$433 Vol.
39%
20°C
$97 Vol.
12%
21°C
$518 Vol.
4%
22°C or higher
$1,165 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward an 18°C high in Amsterdam on April 17 (42.5% implied probability) over 19°C (36.0%), driven by the latest KNMI operational forecast of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and a 30% chance of light showers. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS exhibit a 3–5°C spread clustering around 18–20°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud fraction that could limit or enhance solar insolation and boundary layer heating. Weeronline aligns at 19°C with minimal precipitation, while Ventusky (ECMWF) shows near 19°C in mostly clear conditions. Above-seasonal norms (April average ~13°C) stem from a high-pressure ridge ushering mild Atlantic air, but new overnight model runs and April 16 observations may refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volume
$12,373Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward an 18°C high in Amsterdam on April 17 (42.5% implied probability) over 19°C (36.0%), driven by the latest KNMI operational forecast of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and a 30% chance of light showers. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS exhibit a 3–5°C spread clustering around 18–20°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud fraction that could limit or enhance solar insolation and boundary layer heating. Weeronline aligns at 19°C with minimal precipitation, while Ventusky (ECMWF) shows near 19°C in mostly clear conditions. Above-seasonal norms (April average ~13°C) stem from a high-pressure ridge ushering mild Atlantic air, but new overnight model runs and April 16 observations may refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,373Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward an 18°C high in Amsterdam on April 17 (42.5% implied probability) over 19°C (36.0%), driven by the latest KNMI operational forecast of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and a 30% chance of light showers. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS exhibit a 3–5°C spread clustering around 18–20°C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud fraction that could limit or enhance solar insolation and boundary layer heating. Weeronline aligns at 19°C with minimal precipitation, while Ventusky (ECMWF) shows near 19°C in mostly clear conditions. Above-seasonal norms (April average ~13°C) stem from a high-pressure ridge ushering mild Atlantic air, but new overnight model runs and April 16 observations may refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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