Trader consensus clusters around 78-81°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs showing upper 70s to low 80s amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest advecting warm air via gusty southwest winds up to 28 mph. Recent record warmth—81°F on April 12 and 82°F on April 14, shattering the 59°F climatological average—has reinforced this pattern, though a 95% chance of showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty in peak afternoon heating and cloud cover. Model spreads capture the razor-thin differences differentiating leading outcomes, with overnight GFS and ECMWF updates poised to refine probabilities before official O'Hare Airport observations resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chicago on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 17?
80-81 °F 25%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 15%
82-83 °F 15%
NOUVEAU
$11,303 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,303 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
71°F ou moins
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
29%
80-81 °F
25%
82-83 °F
15%
84-85°F
11%
86-87 °F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F ou plus
1%
80-81 °F 25%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 15%
82-83 °F 15%
NOUVEAU
$11,303 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,303 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
71°F ou moins
$5,276 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$910 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$832 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$600 Vol.
15%
78-79°F
$587 Vol.
29%
80-81 °F
$532 Vol.
25%
82-83 °F
$761 Vol.
15%
84-85°F
$550 Vol.
11%
86-87 °F
$460 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$488 Vol.
2%
90°F ou plus
$508 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around 78-81°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs showing upper 70s to low 80s amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest advecting warm air via gusty southwest winds up to 28 mph. Recent record warmth—81°F on April 12 and 82°F on April 14, shattering the 59°F climatological average—has reinforced this pattern, though a 95% chance of showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty in peak afternoon heating and cloud cover. Model spreads capture the razor-thin differences differentiating leading outcomes, with overnight GFS and ECMWF updates poised to refine probabilities before official O'Hare Airport observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volume
$11,303Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around 78-81°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs showing upper 70s to low 80s amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest advecting warm air via gusty southwest winds up to 28 mph. Recent record warmth—81°F on April 12 and 82°F on April 14, shattering the 59°F climatological average—has reinforced this pattern, though a 95% chance of showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty in peak afternoon heating and cloud cover. Model spreads capture the razor-thin differences differentiating leading outcomes, with overnight GFS and ECMWF updates poised to refine probabilities before official O'Hare Airport observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,303Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 78-81°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs showing upper 70s to low 80s amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest advecting warm air via gusty southwest winds up to 28 mph. Recent record warmth—81°F on April 12 and 82°F on April 14, shattering the 59°F climatological average—has reinforced this pattern, though a 95% chance of showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty in peak afternoon heating and cloud cover. Model spreads capture the razor-thin differences differentiating leading outcomes, with overnight GFS and ECMWF updates poised to refine probabilities before official O'Hare Airport observations resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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