Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–29°C due to divergent guidance from official sources and ensembles. The Hong Kong Observatory's midday update on April 16 projects a maximum of 27°C amid rain and cloudy conditions, aligning with China Meteorological Administration district forecasts of 25–29°C, while some international models like AccuWeather suggest up to 32°C under partial sun. Key differentiators include cloud cover limiting solar insolation, potential convective showers from sea breeze convergence, and moisture from recent frontal passages capping peaks near climatological mid-April averages of 27°C. Updated model runs and afternoon observations today could refine this ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
26°C or below 22%
29°C 22%
28°C 21%
27°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
26°C or below
22%
27°C
21%
28°C
21%
29°C
22%
30°C
10%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
26°C or below 22%
29°C 22%
28°C 21%
27°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
26°C or below
$365 Vol.
22%
27°C
$162 Vol.
21%
28°C
$196 Vol.
21%
29°C
$166 Vol.
22%
30°C
$308 Vol.
10%
31°C
$364 Vol.
10%
32°C
$595 Vol.
2%
33°C
$442 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,917 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,640 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,272 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–29°C due to divergent guidance from official sources and ensembles. The Hong Kong Observatory's midday update on April 16 projects a maximum of 27°C amid rain and cloudy conditions, aligning with China Meteorological Administration district forecasts of 25–29°C, while some international models like AccuWeather suggest up to 32°C under partial sun. Key differentiators include cloud cover limiting solar insolation, potential convective showers from sea breeze convergence, and moisture from recent frontal passages capping peaks near climatological mid-April averages of 27°C. Updated model runs and afternoon observations today could refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$7,425Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–29°C due to divergent guidance from official sources and ensembles. The Hong Kong Observatory's midday update on April 16 projects a maximum of 27°C amid rain and cloudy conditions, aligning with China Meteorological Administration district forecasts of 25–29°C, while some international models like AccuWeather suggest up to 32°C under partial sun. Key differentiators include cloud cover limiting solar insolation, potential convective showers from sea breeze convergence, and moisture from recent frontal passages capping peaks near climatological mid-April averages of 27°C. Updated model runs and afternoon observations today could refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,425Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–29°C due to divergent guidance from official sources and ensembles. The Hong Kong Observatory's midday update on April 16 projects a maximum of 27°C amid rain and cloudy conditions, aligning with China Meteorological Administration district forecasts of 25–29°C, while some international models like AccuWeather suggest up to 32°C under partial sun. Key differentiators include cloud cover limiting solar insolation, potential convective showers from sea breeze convergence, and moisture from recent frontal passages capping peaks near climatological mid-April averages of 27°C. Updated model runs and afternoon observations today could refine this ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes