Hong Kong Observatory's latest multi-model forecasts and observational data position 29°C as the leading outcome at 49.5% market-implied probability for tomorrow's highest temperature, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mainly sunny skies and light winds after recent showers cleared earlier this week. Current readings on April 16 show midday temperatures already reaching 27°C with low humidity around 70%, aligning with above-normal seasonal trends for April—where historical highs average 26°C but recent days like April 14 hit 29°C. The 28°C outcome at 28% reflects model uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, while 30°C or higher at 12.5% accounts for potential solar insolation boosts under clear conditions. Traders await HKO's evening update and tomorrow's hourly observations for final confirmation, as small shifts in cloud cover could tip the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 17 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 17 avril ?
29°C 50%
28°C 27%
30°C 13%
27°C 7.8%
$77,230 Vol.
$77,230 Vol.
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
27%
29°C
50%
30°C
13%
31°C ou plus
4%
29°C 50%
28°C 27%
30°C 13%
27°C 7.8%
$77,230 Vol.
$77,230 Vol.
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
27%
29°C
50%
30°C
13%
31°C ou plus
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest multi-model forecasts and observational data position 29°C as the leading outcome at 49.5% market-implied probability for tomorrow's highest temperature, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mainly sunny skies and light winds after recent showers cleared earlier this week. Current readings on April 16 show midday temperatures already reaching 27°C with low humidity around 70%, aligning with above-normal seasonal trends for April—where historical highs average 26°C but recent days like April 14 hit 29°C. The 28°C outcome at 28% reflects model uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, while 30°C or higher at 12.5% accounts for potential solar insolation boosts under clear conditions. Traders await HKO's evening update and tomorrow's hourly observations for final confirmation, as small shifts in cloud cover could tip the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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