The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C (25%) and 28°C (22.5%). This positioning reflects stable model guidance from recent updates, including clear skies and light winds favoring daytime heating amid the city's high elevation (2,240 meters), which typically caps April highs around a historical average of 26°C. Persistent dry-season conditions with minimal cloud cover have kept recent days (April 14–16) in the 26–28°C range, slightly above climatological norms without heatwave signals. Final observations from stations like Observatorio de Tacubaya will resolve the market tomorrow, with low uncertainty in short-range forecasts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 38%
30°C 24%
28°C 18%
31°C 11%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
18%
29°C
38%
30°C
24%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 24%
28°C 18%
31°C 11%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
18%
29°C
38%
30°C
24%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C (25%) and 28°C (22.5%). This positioning reflects stable model guidance from recent updates, including clear skies and light winds favoring daytime heating amid the city's high elevation (2,240 meters), which typically caps April highs around a historical average of 26°C. Persistent dry-season conditions with minimal cloud cover have kept recent days (April 14–16) in the 26–28°C range, slightly above climatological norms without heatwave signals. Final observations from stations like Observatorio de Tacubaya will resolve the market tomorrow, with low uncertainty in short-range forecasts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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