Latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) project a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Mexico City on April 17, reflecting partly cloudy skies, light northern winds of 10–20 km/h with gusts to 40 km/h, and low precipitation risk (under 5 mm), which aligns with trader sentiment favoring 29°C (32% implied probability), 30°C (24%), and 28°C (23%). Yesterday's observed high of 28°C at Tacubaya observatory—Mexico City's official station—supports this clustering above the April historical average of 26°C, amid dry-season solar heating moderated by 2,240-meter elevation and potential afternoon cloud development. Ensemble model uncertainty in peak afternoon heating differentiates outcomes, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations as conditions evolve tomorrow.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 33%
28°C 28%
30°C 26%
31°C 10%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
33%
30°C
24%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 33%
28°C 28%
30°C 26%
31°C 10%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
33%
30°C
24%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) project a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Mexico City on April 17, reflecting partly cloudy skies, light northern winds of 10–20 km/h with gusts to 40 km/h, and low precipitation risk (under 5 mm), which aligns with trader sentiment favoring 29°C (32% implied probability), 30°C (24%), and 28°C (23%). Yesterday's observed high of 28°C at Tacubaya observatory—Mexico City's official station—supports this clustering above the April historical average of 26°C, amid dry-season solar heating moderated by 2,240-meter elevation and potential afternoon cloud development. Ensemble model uncertainty in peak afternoon heating differentiates outcomes, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations as conditions evolve tomorrow.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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