Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature falling in the 80-81°F range on April 15, driven primarily by the National Weather Service forecast of a maximum near 80°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Florida. East winds at 10-15 mph promote onshore flow, moderating daytime heating and keeping highs slightly below the early April climatological average of 82°F, as confirmed by recent observational data from Miami International Airport showing April 14 highs in the upper 70s. Model consensus from NOAA guidance supports limited convective activity and partly sunny skies, with low probabilities for 82°F+ outcomes due to sustained breeziness; intraday temperature observations and any afternoon forecast updates will refine resolution as the event concludes at midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Miami on April 15?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 15?
80-81°F 62%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 4.3%
NOUVEAU
$34,921 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$34,921 Vol.
15 avr. 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
62%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 62%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 4.3%
NOUVEAU
$34,921 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$34,921 Vol.
15 avr. 2026
69°F or below
$1,660 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$949 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,446 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,147 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$6,950 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$4,257 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$3,709 Vol.
62%
82-83°F
$3,572 Vol.
13%
84-85°F
$3,837 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$2,785 Vol.
1%
88°F or higher
$2,630 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature falling in the 80-81°F range on April 15, driven primarily by the National Weather Service forecast of a maximum near 80°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Florida. East winds at 10-15 mph promote onshore flow, moderating daytime heating and keeping highs slightly below the early April climatological average of 82°F, as confirmed by recent observational data from Miami International Airport showing April 14 highs in the upper 70s. Model consensus from NOAA guidance supports limited convective activity and partly sunny skies, with low probabilities for 82°F+ outcomes due to sustained breeziness; intraday temperature observations and any afternoon forecast updates will refine resolution as the event concludes at midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$34,921Date de fin
15 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature falling in the 80-81°F range on April 15, driven primarily by the National Weather Service forecast of a maximum near 80°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Florida. East winds at 10-15 mph promote onshore flow, moderating daytime heating and keeping highs slightly below the early April climatological average of 82°F, as confirmed by recent observational data from Miami International Airport showing April 14 highs in the upper 70s. Model consensus from NOAA guidance supports limited convective activity and partly sunny skies, with low probabilities for 82°F+ outcomes due to sustained breeziness; intraday temperature observations and any afternoon forecast updates will refine resolution as the event concludes at midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,921Date de fin
15 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature falling in the 80-81°F range on April 15, driven primarily by the National Weather Service forecast of a maximum near 80°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Florida. East winds at 10-15 mph promote onshore flow, moderating daytime heating and keeping highs slightly below the early April climatological average of 82°F, as confirmed by recent observational data from Miami International Airport showing April 14 highs in the upper 70s. Model consensus from NOAA guidance supports limited convective activity and partly sunny skies, with low probabilities for 82°F+ outcomes due to sustained breeziness; intraday temperature observations and any afternoon forecast updates will refine resolution as the event concludes at midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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