Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Moscow's highest temperature on April 17 at 13-14°C under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers, driving trader consensus toward 12°C (37% implied probability) as the frontrunner, followed by 11°C and 13°C. This positioning reflects April 16 observations of cloudy conditions capping highs at around 12°C, with southerly winds advecting mild air masses but persistent overcast limiting solar heating. Mid-April climatological averages hover near 11-12°C, while ensemble spreads of 1-2°C underscore inherent forecast uncertainty from evolving upper-air patterns. Updated 12Z model runs today may shift odds before resolution via official Vnukovo or central station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
12°C 37%
11°C 21%
13°C 16%
14°C 15%
$15,677 Vol.
$15,677 Vol.
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
7%
11°C
21%
12°C
37%
13°C
16%
14°C
15%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 37%
11°C 21%
13°C 16%
14°C 15%
$15,677 Vol.
$15,677 Vol.
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
7%
11°C
21%
12°C
37%
13°C
16%
14°C
15%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Moscow's highest temperature on April 17 at 13-14°C under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers, driving trader consensus toward 12°C (37% implied probability) as the frontrunner, followed by 11°C and 13°C. This positioning reflects April 16 observations of cloudy conditions capping highs at around 12°C, with southerly winds advecting mild air masses but persistent overcast limiting solar heating. Mid-April climatological averages hover near 11-12°C, while ensemble spreads of 1-2°C underscore inherent forecast uncertainty from evolving upper-air patterns. Updated 12Z model runs today may shift odds before resolution via official Vnukovo or central station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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