Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 78-79°F (37.5% implied probability) at LaGuardia Airport on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 84-86°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, funneling unseasonably warm southwest winds 20-25°F above the mid-April climatological normal of ~60°F. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs over the past 24-48 hours have trended consistently warm through Friday, building on early April's record 80°F days and a dry, sunny pattern that enhances daytime heating. However, uncertainties from potential overnight showers, sea breeze moderation, and model ensemble spreads cap extreme outcomes, with 77°F or below at 26% and 80-81°F at 23%; monitor NWS evening updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à New York le 17 avril ?
Température la plus élevée à New York le 17 avril ?
78-79 °F 38%
77°F ou moins 24%
80-81 °F 24%
82-83 °F 12%
$26,381 Vol.
$26,381 Vol.
77°F ou moins
24%
78-79 °F
38%
80-81 °F
24%
82-83 °F
12%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89 °F
1%
90-91 °F
<1%
92-93 °F
<1%
94-95 °F
<1%
96°F ou plus
<1%
78-79 °F 38%
77°F ou moins 24%
80-81 °F 24%
82-83 °F 12%
$26,381 Vol.
$26,381 Vol.
77°F ou moins
24%
78-79 °F
38%
80-81 °F
24%
82-83 °F
12%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89 °F
1%
90-91 °F
<1%
92-93 °F
<1%
94-95 °F
<1%
96°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 78-79°F (37.5% implied probability) at LaGuardia Airport on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 84-86°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, funneling unseasonably warm southwest winds 20-25°F above the mid-April climatological normal of ~60°F. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs over the past 24-48 hours have trended consistently warm through Friday, building on early April's record 80°F days and a dry, sunny pattern that enhances daytime heating. However, uncertainties from potential overnight showers, sea breeze moderation, and model ensemble spreads cap extreme outcomes, with 77°F or below at 26% and 80-81°F at 23%; monitor NWS evening updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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