Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from INMET and global ensembles converging around 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and weak high-pressure influence. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from moisture advection, which could cap peak heating below 30°C, versus urban heat island amplification and delayed sea breeze allowing slight exceedance; recent INMET guidance shows "muitas nuvens" limiting insolation. This exceeds April climatological highs of ~26°C amid ongoing warm anomalies seen in prior months. Watch for afternoon INMET updates and Guarulhos Airport observations, as minor shifts in boundary layer mixing could tip the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
29°C 32%
30°C 32%
28°C 16%
31°C 12%
NOUVEAU
$13,277 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,277 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
16%
29°C
32%
30°C
32%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
30°C 32%
28°C 16%
31°C 12%
NOUVEAU
$13,277 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,277 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
24°C or below
$2,610 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,675 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,358 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,626 Vol.
3%
28°C
$869 Vol.
16%
29°C
$811 Vol.
32%
30°C
$795 Vol.
32%
31°C
$1,663 Vol.
12%
32°C
$651 Vol.
4%
33°C
$440 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$933 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from INMET and global ensembles converging around 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and weak high-pressure influence. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from moisture advection, which could cap peak heating below 30°C, versus urban heat island amplification and delayed sea breeze allowing slight exceedance; recent INMET guidance shows "muitas nuvens" limiting insolation. This exceeds April climatological highs of ~26°C amid ongoing warm anomalies seen in prior months. Watch for afternoon INMET updates and Guarulhos Airport observations, as minor shifts in boundary layer mixing could tip the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$13,277Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from INMET and global ensembles converging around 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and weak high-pressure influence. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from moisture advection, which could cap peak heating below 30°C, versus urban heat island amplification and delayed sea breeze allowing slight exceedance; recent INMET guidance shows "muitas nuvens" limiting insolation. This exceeds April climatological highs of ~26°C amid ongoing warm anomalies seen in prior months. Watch for afternoon INMET updates and Guarulhos Airport observations, as minor shifts in boundary layer mixing could tip the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,277Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from INMET and global ensembles converging around 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and weak high-pressure influence. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from moisture advection, which could cap peak heating below 30°C, versus urban heat island amplification and delayed sea breeze allowing slight exceedance; recent INMET guidance shows "muitas nuvens" limiting insolation. This exceeds April climatological highs of ~26°C amid ongoing warm anomalies seen in prior months. Watch for afternoon INMET updates and Guarulhos Airport observations, as minor shifts in boundary layer mixing could tip the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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