Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects divergent short-range forecast models for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17, with the China Meteorological Administration projecting a 28°C peak under cloudy skies and light southerly winds, while AccuWeather anticipates 30°C amid partly sunny, humid conditions. This tight clustering around 28–30°C stems from yesterday's observed high of 30°C and ongoing subtropical moisture, where high dew points near 21°C and variable cloud cover could suppress insolation to cap peaks at 28°C or allow urban heat and reduced sea breeze to push toward 30°C. Afternoon showers in some ensembles add uncertainty; watch evening model updates from CMA for shifts before resolution based on Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
30°C 31%
28°C 26%
29°C 23%
27°C 15%
NOUVEAU
$11,706 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,706 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
15%
28°C
26%
29°C
23%
30°C
31%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
2%
30°C 31%
28°C 26%
29°C 23%
27°C 15%
NOUVEAU
$11,706 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,706 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
22°C or below
$1,264 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,184 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,332 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,571 Vol.
3%
26°C
$1,493 Vol.
4%
27°C
$598 Vol.
15%
28°C
$404 Vol.
26%
29°C
$237 Vol.
23%
30°C
$818 Vol.
31%
31°C
$1,365 Vol.
6%
32°C or higher
$541 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects divergent short-range forecast models for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17, with the China Meteorological Administration projecting a 28°C peak under cloudy skies and light southerly winds, while AccuWeather anticipates 30°C amid partly sunny, humid conditions. This tight clustering around 28–30°C stems from yesterday's observed high of 30°C and ongoing subtropical moisture, where high dew points near 21°C and variable cloud cover could suppress insolation to cap peaks at 28°C or allow urban heat and reduced sea breeze to push toward 30°C. Afternoon showers in some ensembles add uncertainty; watch evening model updates from CMA for shifts before resolution based on Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volume
$11,706Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects divergent short-range forecast models for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17, with the China Meteorological Administration projecting a 28°C peak under cloudy skies and light southerly winds, while AccuWeather anticipates 30°C amid partly sunny, humid conditions. This tight clustering around 28–30°C stems from yesterday's observed high of 30°C and ongoing subtropical moisture, where high dew points near 21°C and variable cloud cover could suppress insolation to cap peaks at 28°C or allow urban heat and reduced sea breeze to push toward 30°C. Afternoon showers in some ensembles add uncertainty; watch evening model updates from CMA for shifts before resolution based on Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,706Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects divergent short-range forecast models for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17, with the China Meteorological Administration projecting a 28°C peak under cloudy skies and light southerly winds, while AccuWeather anticipates 30°C amid partly sunny, humid conditions. This tight clustering around 28–30°C stems from yesterday's observed high of 30°C and ongoing subtropical moisture, where high dew points near 21°C and variable cloud cover could suppress insolation to cap peaks at 28°C or allow urban heat and reduced sea breeze to push toward 30°C. Afternoon showers in some ensembles add uncertainty; watch evening model updates from CMA for shifts before resolution based on Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes