The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei on April 17 projects a daytime high of 24–28°C under partly clear skies, with apparent temperatures reaching 31°C, anchoring trader sentiment around 28–29°C outcomes at 22–26% implied probabilities. This closely matched positioning reflects uncertainty between CWA's conservative cap and warmer projections from models like AccuWeather (up to 30°C), amid a recent warm spell with highs exceeding 30°C earlier in April—driven by persistent subtropical ridging and urban heat island effects at Songshan Airport station. Differentiating factors include afternoon insolation variability, sea breeze timing, and cloud cover fluctuations; watch CWA hourly updates and real-time observations for resolution shifts as peak heating approaches midday. Historical April averages hover near 26°C, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game calibration to evolving forecasts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Taipei le 17 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Taipei le 17 avril ?
29°C 25%
30°C 24%
28°C 24%
27°C 14%
NOUVEAU
$28,244 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$28,244 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
24%
29°C
25%
30°C
24%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C ou plus
1%
29°C 25%
30°C 24%
28°C 24%
27°C 14%
NOUVEAU
$28,244 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$28,244 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
24°C ou moins
$2,249 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,117 Vol.
2%
26°C
$4,593 Vol.
5%
27°C
$2,699 Vol.
14%
28°C
$1,489 Vol.
24%
29°C
$1,631 Vol.
25%
30°C
$2,516 Vol.
24%
31°C
$2,518 Vol.
8%
32°C
$3,213 Vol.
2%
33°C
$2,223 Vol.
1%
34°C ou plus
$2,002 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei on April 17 projects a daytime high of 24–28°C under partly clear skies, with apparent temperatures reaching 31°C, anchoring trader sentiment around 28–29°C outcomes at 22–26% implied probabilities. This closely matched positioning reflects uncertainty between CWA's conservative cap and warmer projections from models like AccuWeather (up to 30°C), amid a recent warm spell with highs exceeding 30°C earlier in April—driven by persistent subtropical ridging and urban heat island effects at Songshan Airport station. Differentiating factors include afternoon insolation variability, sea breeze timing, and cloud cover fluctuations; watch CWA hourly updates and real-time observations for resolution shifts as peak heating approaches midday. Historical April averages hover near 26°C, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game calibration to evolving forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$28,244Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei on April 17 projects a daytime high of 24–28°C under partly clear skies, with apparent temperatures reaching 31°C, anchoring trader sentiment around 28–29°C outcomes at 22–26% implied probabilities. This closely matched positioning reflects uncertainty between CWA's conservative cap and warmer projections from models like AccuWeather (up to 30°C), amid a recent warm spell with highs exceeding 30°C earlier in April—driven by persistent subtropical ridging and urban heat island effects at Songshan Airport station. Differentiating factors include afternoon insolation variability, sea breeze timing, and cloud cover fluctuations; watch CWA hourly updates and real-time observations for resolution shifts as peak heating approaches midday. Historical April averages hover near 26°C, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game calibration to evolving forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,244Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei on April 17 projects a daytime high of 24–28°C under partly clear skies, with apparent temperatures reaching 31°C, anchoring trader sentiment around 28–29°C outcomes at 22–26% implied probabilities. This closely matched positioning reflects uncertainty between CWA's conservative cap and warmer projections from models like AccuWeather (up to 30°C), amid a recent warm spell with highs exceeding 30°C earlier in April—driven by persistent subtropical ridging and urban heat island effects at Songshan Airport station. Differentiating factors include afternoon insolation variability, sea breeze timing, and cloud cover fluctuations; watch CWA hourly updates and real-time observations for resolution shifts as peak heating approaches midday. Historical April averages hover near 26°C, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game calibration to evolving forecasts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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