Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs over the past 24 hours project peak temperatures of 32–35°C at Ben Gurion International Airport near Tel Aviv on April 17, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating. Light southerly winds advect warmer desert air, boosting potential above the Israel Meteorological Service's conservative 30°C forecast, while sea breeze development could cap coastal readings. With probabilities tightly clustered (34°C at 31%, 33°C at 25%), uncertainty stems from model spread on boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud cover; new 12Z ensembles expected overnight may sharpen the outlook before resolution via NOAA observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
34°C 32%
33°C 26%
35°C or higher 21%
32°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
21%
33°C
26%
34°C
32%
35°C or higher
21%
34°C 32%
33°C 26%
35°C or higher 21%
32°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
25°C or below
$597 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$808 Vol.
1%
27°C
$823 Vol.
1%
28°C
$746 Vol.
1%
29°C
$494 Vol.
1%
30°C
$609 Vol.
3%
31°C
$758 Vol.
5%
32°C
$562 Vol.
21%
33°C
$759 Vol.
26%
34°C
$775 Vol.
32%
35°C or higher
$1,435 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs over the past 24 hours project peak temperatures of 32–35°C at Ben Gurion International Airport near Tel Aviv on April 17, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating. Light southerly winds advect warmer desert air, boosting potential above the Israel Meteorological Service's conservative 30°C forecast, while sea breeze development could cap coastal readings. With probabilities tightly clustered (34°C at 31%, 33°C at 25%), uncertainty stems from model spread on boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud cover; new 12Z ensembles expected overnight may sharpen the outlook before resolution via NOAA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$8,368Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs over the past 24 hours project peak temperatures of 32–35°C at Ben Gurion International Airport near Tel Aviv on April 17, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating. Light southerly winds advect warmer desert air, boosting potential above the Israel Meteorological Service's conservative 30°C forecast, while sea breeze development could cap coastal readings. With probabilities tightly clustered (34°C at 31%, 33°C at 25%), uncertainty stems from model spread on boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud cover; new 12Z ensembles expected overnight may sharpen the outlook before resolution via NOAA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,368Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs over the past 24 hours project peak temperatures of 32–35°C at Ben Gurion International Airport near Tel Aviv on April 17, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating. Light southerly winds advect warmer desert air, boosting potential above the Israel Meteorological Service's conservative 30°C forecast, while sea breeze development could cap coastal readings. With probabilities tightly clustered (34°C at 31%, 33°C at 25%), uncertainty stems from model spread on boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud cover; new 12Z ensembles expected overnight may sharpen the outlook before resolution via NOAA observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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