Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 18°C high temperature in Tokyo on April 17 at 37% implied probability, closely followed by 19°C at 26.5%, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international models like those reflected on AccuWeather (66°F or 19°C max) and TimeandDate (67°F or 19°C). A weak frontal system brought early showers and overcast skies to Tokyo on April 16, with current conditions at 13°C and sprinkles, fostering persistent cloud cover and easterly winds of 10-18 mph that cap daytime heating under limited solar insolation. JMA's regional outlook notes cloudy skies with occasional clears and 20% rain chance, aligning with spring norms where April highs average 19°C at Tokyo's official station (WMO 47662), though model runs show divergence that could yield 17-20°C outcomes; updated hourly observations from JMA expected throughout April 17 will sharpen resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 17?
18°C 38%
19°C 27%
17°C 17%
20°C 13%
NOUVEAU
$14,754 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,754 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
17%
18°C
38%
19°C
27%
20°C
13%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
3%
18°C 38%
19°C 27%
17°C 17%
20°C 13%
NOUVEAU
$14,754 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,754 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
12°C or below
$1,951 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,950 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,777 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,372 Vol.
2%
16°C
$1,262 Vol.
6%
17°C
$534 Vol.
17%
18°C
$739 Vol.
38%
19°C
$537 Vol.
27%
20°C
$1,454 Vol.
13%
21°C
$1,539 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$1,643 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 18°C high temperature in Tokyo on April 17 at 37% implied probability, closely followed by 19°C at 26.5%, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international models like those reflected on AccuWeather (66°F or 19°C max) and TimeandDate (67°F or 19°C). A weak frontal system brought early showers and overcast skies to Tokyo on April 16, with current conditions at 13°C and sprinkles, fostering persistent cloud cover and easterly winds of 10-18 mph that cap daytime heating under limited solar insolation. JMA's regional outlook notes cloudy skies with occasional clears and 20% rain chance, aligning with spring norms where April highs average 19°C at Tokyo's official station (WMO 47662), though model runs show divergence that could yield 17-20°C outcomes; updated hourly observations from JMA expected throughout April 17 will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$14,754Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 18°C high temperature in Tokyo on April 17 at 37% implied probability, closely followed by 19°C at 26.5%, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international models like those reflected on AccuWeather (66°F or 19°C max) and TimeandDate (67°F or 19°C). A weak frontal system brought early showers and overcast skies to Tokyo on April 16, with current conditions at 13°C and sprinkles, fostering persistent cloud cover and easterly winds of 10-18 mph that cap daytime heating under limited solar insolation. JMA's regional outlook notes cloudy skies with occasional clears and 20% rain chance, aligning with spring norms where April highs average 19°C at Tokyo's official station (WMO 47662), though model runs show divergence that could yield 17-20°C outcomes; updated hourly observations from JMA expected throughout April 17 will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,754Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 18°C high temperature in Tokyo on April 17 at 37% implied probability, closely followed by 19°C at 26.5%, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international models like those reflected on AccuWeather (66°F or 19°C max) and TimeandDate (67°F or 19°C). A weak frontal system brought early showers and overcast skies to Tokyo on April 16, with current conditions at 13°C and sprinkles, fostering persistent cloud cover and easterly winds of 10-18 mph that cap daytime heating under limited solar insolation. JMA's regional outlook notes cloudy skies with occasional clears and 20% rain chance, aligning with spring norms where April highs average 19°C at Tokyo's official station (WMO 47662), though model runs show divergence that could yield 17-20°C outcomes; updated hourly observations from JMA expected throughout April 17 will sharpen resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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