National Weather Service data confirms just 0.35 inches of precipitation at New York City's Central Park gauge through April 15, 2026—only 17% of the climatological normal for the period—fueling trader consensus at 59% implied odds for a total under 2 inches for the month. This stark deficit stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, diverting storm tracks northward amid neutral ENSO conditions that historically suppress spring rainfall in the region. NWS short-range forecasts show isolated shower risks (20-60% chances) through April 22 but minimal quantitative precipitation forecast totals from model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF. With 15 days remaining and average daily April rates around 0.12 inches, below-normal outcomes dominate unless an unforeseen frontal surge develops; monitor WPC 8-14 day outlooks for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPrécipitations à New York en avril ?
Précipitations à New York en avril ?
<2" 58.7%
2-3" 20%
4-5" 5.8%
>15 cm 5.8%
$46,482 Vol.
$46,482 Vol.
<2"
59%
2-3"
20%
3-4"
3%
4-5"
6%
5-6"
2%
>15 cm
6%
<2" 58.7%
2-3" 20%
4-5" 5.8%
>15 cm 5.8%
$46,482 Vol.
$46,482 Vol.
<2"
59%
2-3"
20%
3-4"
3%
4-5"
6%
5-6"
2%
>15 cm
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service data confirms just 0.35 inches of precipitation at New York City's Central Park gauge through April 15, 2026—only 17% of the climatological normal for the period—fueling trader consensus at 59% implied odds for a total under 2 inches for the month. This stark deficit stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, diverting storm tracks northward amid neutral ENSO conditions that historically suppress spring rainfall in the region. NWS short-range forecasts show isolated shower risks (20-60% chances) through April 22 but minimal quantitative precipitation forecast totals from model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF. With 15 days remaining and average daily April rates around 0.12 inches, below-normal outcomes dominate unless an unforeseen frontal surge develops; monitor WPC 8-14 day outlooks for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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