Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against an ECB rate cut in 2026, driven by the Governing Council's March 19 decision to hold key interest rates steady—including the deposit rate at 2%—while sharply raising the 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing energy price surges from Mideast tensions and Iran-related war impacts. March eurozone inflation printed at 2.5%, exceeding the 2% target, with sticky services pressures and downward growth revisions to 0.9% for the year reinforcing a hawkish stance. Banks like Morgan Stanley now expect no easing, and some anticipate hikes, as policymakers on April 16 downplayed near-term changes ahead of the April 30 meeting, prioritizing inflation stabilization over monetary loosening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$25,095 वॉल्यूम
$25,095 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$25,095 वॉल्यूम
$25,095 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against an ECB rate cut in 2026, driven by the Governing Council's March 19 decision to hold key interest rates steady—including the deposit rate at 2%—while sharply raising the 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing energy price surges from Mideast tensions and Iran-related war impacts. March eurozone inflation printed at 2.5%, exceeding the 2% target, with sticky services pressures and downward growth revisions to 0.9% for the year reinforcing a hawkish stance. Banks like Morgan Stanley now expect no easing, and some anticipate hikes, as policymakers on April 16 downplayed near-term changes ahead of the April 30 meeting, prioritizing inflation stabilization over monetary loosening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,095समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against an ECB rate cut in 2026, driven by the Governing Council's March 19 decision to hold key interest rates steady—including the deposit rate at 2%—while sharply raising the 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing energy price surges from Mideast tensions and Iran-related war impacts. March eurozone inflation printed at 2.5%, exceeding the 2% target, with sticky services pressures and downward growth revisions to 0.9% for the year reinforcing a hawkish stance. Banks like Morgan Stanley now expect no easing, and some anticipate hikes, as policymakers on April 16 downplayed near-term changes ahead of the April 30 meeting, prioritizing inflation stabilization over monetary loosening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$25,095समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against an ECB rate cut in 2026, driven by the Governing Council's March 19 decision to hold key interest rates steady—including the deposit rate at 2%—while sharply raising the 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing energy price surges from Mideast tensions and Iran-related war impacts. March eurozone inflation printed at 2.5%, exceeding the 2% target, with sticky services pressures and downward growth revisions to 0.9% for the year reinforcing a hawkish stance. Banks like Morgan Stanley now expect no easing, and some anticipate hikes, as policymakers on April 16 downplayed near-term changes ahead of the April 30 meeting, prioritizing inflation stabilization over monetary loosening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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