Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C (31%) and 24°C (24.5%) as Beijing's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing projecting a peak around 24°C under sunny skies and southerly winds promoting mild advection. This clustering reflects ensemble model agreement from ECMWF and GFS, where minor differences arise from variable cloud cover predictions and the timing of peak diurnal heating amid Beijing's urban heat island effect. Mid-April climatology typically sees highs of 20–23°C, but recent clearing after April 16's light rain has boosted warming potential; updated afternoon observations could tip the balance between these outcomes before market resolution on official station data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
25°C 27%
24°C 25%
23°C 13%
22°C 9%
NUOVO
$17,382 Vol.
NUOVO
$17,382 Vol.
17 apr 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
13%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 27%
24°C 25%
23°C 13%
22°C 9%
NUOVO
$17,382 Vol.
NUOVO
$17,382 Vol.
17 apr 2026
21°C or below
$2,613 Vol.
3%
22°C
$2,055 Vol.
9%
23°C
$1,315 Vol.
13%
24°C
$818 Vol.
25%
25°C
$906 Vol.
27%
26°C
$2,219 Vol.
8%
27°C
$1,176 Vol.
3%
28°C
$2,285 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,238 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,485 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C (31%) and 24°C (24.5%) as Beijing's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing projecting a peak around 24°C under sunny skies and southerly winds promoting mild advection. This clustering reflects ensemble model agreement from ECMWF and GFS, where minor differences arise from variable cloud cover predictions and the timing of peak diurnal heating amid Beijing's urban heat island effect. Mid-April climatology typically sees highs of 20–23°C, but recent clearing after April 16's light rain has boosted warming potential; updated afternoon observations could tip the balance between these outcomes before market resolution on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ET
Volume
$17,382Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C (31%) and 24°C (24.5%) as Beijing's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing projecting a peak around 24°C under sunny skies and southerly winds promoting mild advection. This clustering reflects ensemble model agreement from ECMWF and GFS, where minor differences arise from variable cloud cover predictions and the timing of peak diurnal heating amid Beijing's urban heat island effect. Mid-April climatology typically sees highs of 20–23°C, but recent clearing after April 16's light rain has boosted warming potential; updated afternoon observations could tip the balance between these outcomes before market resolution on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,382Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C (31%) and 24°C (24.5%) as Beijing's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing projecting a peak around 24°C under sunny skies and southerly winds promoting mild advection. This clustering reflects ensemble model agreement from ECMWF and GFS, where minor differences arise from variable cloud cover predictions and the timing of peak diurnal heating amid Beijing's urban heat island effect. Mid-April climatology typically sees highs of 20–23°C, but recent clearing after April 16's light rain has boosted warming potential; updated afternoon observations could tip the balance between these outcomes before market resolution on official station data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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