Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a highest temperature of 28°C (33.5%) or 29°C (27.5%) in Chengdu on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting 29°C under clear skies, aligned with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles averaging 28–30°C. These odds reflect springtime warming in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence from a high-pressure ridge enhances solar heating and boundary layer temperatures, above the April climatological average of 23–24°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—persistent overcast from lingering frontal moisture could suppress peaks to 27°C (23.0%), while sunnier conditions boost to 29°C+; winds remain light at 3–11 km/h SSW. Evening CMA updates and observational data from April 16 will refine model consensus ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
28°C 34%
29°C 27%
27°C 18%
26°C 9%
$13,800 Vol.
$13,800 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
18%
28°C
34%
29°C
27%
30°C
9%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 34%
29°C 27%
27°C 18%
26°C 9%
$13,800 Vol.
$13,800 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
18%
28°C
34%
29°C
27%
30°C
9%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a highest temperature of 28°C (33.5%) or 29°C (27.5%) in Chengdu on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting 29°C under clear skies, aligned with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles averaging 28–30°C. These odds reflect springtime warming in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence from a high-pressure ridge enhances solar heating and boundary layer temperatures, above the April climatological average of 23–24°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—persistent overcast from lingering frontal moisture could suppress peaks to 27°C (23.0%), while sunnier conditions boost to 29°C+; winds remain light at 3–11 km/h SSW. Evening CMA updates and observational data from April 16 will refine model consensus ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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