Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Guangzhou's highest temperature for April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–29°C (collectively ~95%), driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles projecting daytime highs in the upper 20s amid persistent cloudy skies and 80–85% humidity. Recent days, including April 14's observed 24–30°C range under cloudy conditions per Hong Kong Observatory bulletins, highlight southerly monsoon flow suppressing peaks via reduced solar insolation, though urban heat island effects add variability. April climatology averages 26°C highs with frequent showers; model spreads hinge on afternoon cloud evolution and shower timing, with CMA's next 00Z update potentially clarifying diurnal peaks before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
26°C or below 30%
29°C 20%
28°C 20%
27°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
26°C or below
30%
27°C
19%
28°C
20%
29°C
29%
30°C
13%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
26°C or below 30%
29°C 20%
28°C 20%
27°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
26°C or below
$240 Vol.
30%
27°C
$142 Vol.
19%
28°C
$150 Vol.
20%
29°C
$144 Vol.
29%
30°C
$217 Vol.
13%
31°C
$130 Vol.
12%
32°C
$398 Vol.
2%
33°C
$195 Vol.
2%
34°C
$374 Vol.
1%
35°C
$442 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$486 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Guangzhou's highest temperature for April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–29°C (collectively ~95%), driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles projecting daytime highs in the upper 20s amid persistent cloudy skies and 80–85% humidity. Recent days, including April 14's observed 24–30°C range under cloudy conditions per Hong Kong Observatory bulletins, highlight southerly monsoon flow suppressing peaks via reduced solar insolation, though urban heat island effects add variability. April climatology averages 26°C highs with frequent showers; model spreads hinge on afternoon cloud evolution and shower timing, with CMA's next 00Z update potentially clarifying diurnal peaks before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$2,920Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Guangzhou's highest temperature for April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–29°C (collectively ~95%), driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles projecting daytime highs in the upper 20s amid persistent cloudy skies and 80–85% humidity. Recent days, including April 14's observed 24–30°C range under cloudy conditions per Hong Kong Observatory bulletins, highlight southerly monsoon flow suppressing peaks via reduced solar insolation, though urban heat island effects add variability. April climatology averages 26°C highs with frequent showers; model spreads hinge on afternoon cloud evolution and shower timing, with CMA's next 00Z update potentially clarifying diurnal peaks before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,920Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Guangzhou's highest temperature for April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–29°C (collectively ~95%), driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles projecting daytime highs in the upper 20s amid persistent cloudy skies and 80–85% humidity. Recent days, including April 14's observed 24–30°C range under cloudy conditions per Hong Kong Observatory bulletins, highlight southerly monsoon flow suppressing peaks via reduced solar insolation, though urban heat island effects add variability. April climatology averages 26°C highs with frequent showers; model spreads hinge on afternoon cloud evolution and shower timing, with CMA's next 00Z update potentially clarifying diurnal peaks before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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