Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of forecast models projecting Jakarta's highest temperature on April 17 around 32–34°C, with BMKG and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing ensemble means near 33°C amid an early dry season onset. Recent observations of partly cloudy skies, highs of 32–33°C over the past week, and low-level haze have boosted 34°C odds slightly due to sustained solar insolation and urban heat island effects in the capital. Differentiating factors include afternoon thunderstorm potential (40–60% per NOAA analogs), which could cap peaks at 32°C via cloud cover, versus clearer conditions pushing toward 34–35°C; final BMKG hourly updates and station measurements will resolve this narrow uncertainty window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
33°C 30%
34°C 29%
32°C 26%
35°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
26%
33°C
30%
34°C
29%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 30%
34°C 29%
32°C 26%
35°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
26%
33°C
30%
34°C
29%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of forecast models projecting Jakarta's highest temperature on April 17 around 32–34°C, with BMKG and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing ensemble means near 33°C amid an early dry season onset. Recent observations of partly cloudy skies, highs of 32–33°C over the past week, and low-level haze have boosted 34°C odds slightly due to sustained solar insolation and urban heat island effects in the capital. Differentiating factors include afternoon thunderstorm potential (40–60% per NOAA analogs), which could cap peaks at 32°C via cloud cover, versus clearer conditions pushing toward 34–35°C; final BMKG hourly updates and station measurements will resolve this narrow uncertainty window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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