Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles, pricing a high of 21°C at Charles de Gaulle Airport—the market's likely resolution station—at 32.5%, with 22°C (25%) and 20°C (24.5%) close behind amid minor ensemble spread. Yesterday's mild conditions (highs near 19°C under partly sunny skies) and a building high-pressure ridge ushering southerly flow have driven this springlike warmup above April's climatological average of 16–17°C, but afternoon cloud development risks capping peaks at 20°C or allowing brief convective heating to 22°C if breaks occur. Monitor Météo-France hourly updates today for refined boundary layer forecasts, as urban heat island effects in Paris could nudge the official reading higher.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Paris on April 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 17?
21°C 32%
22°C 27%
20°C 25%
19°C 10%
$18,085 Vol.
$18,085 Vol.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
10%
20°C
25%
21°C
32%
22°C
27%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 32%
22°C 27%
20°C 25%
19°C 10%
$18,085 Vol.
$18,085 Vol.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
10%
20°C
25%
21°C
32%
22°C
27%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles, pricing a high of 21°C at Charles de Gaulle Airport—the market's likely resolution station—at 32.5%, with 22°C (25%) and 20°C (24.5%) close behind amid minor ensemble spread. Yesterday's mild conditions (highs near 19°C under partly sunny skies) and a building high-pressure ridge ushering southerly flow have driven this springlike warmup above April's climatological average of 16–17°C, but afternoon cloud development risks capping peaks at 20°C or allowing brief convective heating to 22°C if breaks occur. Monitor Météo-France hourly updates today for refined boundary layer forecasts, as urban heat island effects in Paris could nudge the official reading higher.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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