Trader consensus on Polymarket's closely contested odds for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 17—peaking at 68-69°F (28.5% implied probability), 66-67°F (26.0%), and 70-71°F (24.5%)—mirrors National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models projecting mild highs in the upper 60s amid persistent marine layer stratus clouds advected onshore by cool northerly California Current waters. This low-level temperature inversion, common in April, caps daytime heating with variable burn-off timing differentiating outcomes: prolonged coastal fog favors 66-67°F, while earlier clearing and lighter westerly winds could push toward 70-71°F. April climatology averages 63-65°F highs at SFO, but subtle upper-air ridge strengthening adds upside potential; watch NWS updates through evening for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
66-67°F 32%
68-69°F 28%
70-71°F 22%
64-65°F 19%
NUOVO
$10,277 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,277 Vol.
17 apr 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 32%
68-69°F 28%
70-71°F 22%
64-65°F 19%
NUOVO
$10,277 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,277 Vol.
17 apr 2026
57°F or below
$860 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,972 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$2,400 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$717 Vol.
8%
64-65°F
$460 Vol.
19%
66-67°F
$360 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$619 Vol.
28%
70-71°F
$473 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$627 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$758 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$1,186 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket's closely contested odds for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 17—peaking at 68-69°F (28.5% implied probability), 66-67°F (26.0%), and 70-71°F (24.5%)—mirrors National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models projecting mild highs in the upper 60s amid persistent marine layer stratus clouds advected onshore by cool northerly California Current waters. This low-level temperature inversion, common in April, caps daytime heating with variable burn-off timing differentiating outcomes: prolonged coastal fog favors 66-67°F, while earlier clearing and lighter westerly winds could push toward 70-71°F. April climatology averages 63-65°F highs at SFO, but subtle upper-air ridge strengthening adds upside potential; watch NWS updates through evening for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volume
$10,277Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket's closely contested odds for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 17—peaking at 68-69°F (28.5% implied probability), 66-67°F (26.0%), and 70-71°F (24.5%)—mirrors National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models projecting mild highs in the upper 60s amid persistent marine layer stratus clouds advected onshore by cool northerly California Current waters. This low-level temperature inversion, common in April, caps daytime heating with variable burn-off timing differentiating outcomes: prolonged coastal fog favors 66-67°F, while earlier clearing and lighter westerly winds could push toward 70-71°F. April climatology averages 63-65°F highs at SFO, but subtle upper-air ridge strengthening adds upside potential; watch NWS updates through evening for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,277Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's closely contested odds for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 17—peaking at 68-69°F (28.5% implied probability), 66-67°F (26.0%), and 70-71°F (24.5%)—mirrors National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models projecting mild highs in the upper 60s amid persistent marine layer stratus clouds advected onshore by cool northerly California Current waters. This low-level temperature inversion, common in April, caps daytime heating with variable burn-off timing differentiating outcomes: prolonged coastal fog favors 66-67°F, while earlier clearing and lighter westerly winds could push toward 70-71°F. April climatology averages 63-65°F highs at SFO, but subtle upper-air ridge strengthening adds upside potential; watch NWS updates through evening for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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