Trader consensus on Polymarket's closely matched leading outcomes—66-67°F at 31.5% and 68-69°F at 29.0%—mirrors the National Weather Service's latest forecast high near 67°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) for April 17, shaped by persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer limiting burn-off. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF over the past 24 hours show tight clustering around upper 60s, with minor divergences tied to stratus deck persistence and light west winds of 5-10 mph inhibiting inland heat advection. Typical mid-April climatology supports these mild highs, averaging 64-66°F historically, though full clearing could nudge toward 70°F; watch morning observations and afternoon updates for resolution as diurnal heating peaks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
66-67°F 32%
68-69°F 27%
70-71°F 20%
64-65°F 18%
NUOVO
$11,361 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,361 Vol.
17 apr 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 32%
68-69°F 27%
70-71°F 20%
64-65°F 18%
NUOVO
$11,361 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,361 Vol.
17 apr 2026
57°F or below
$883 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,977 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,852 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$772 Vol.
6%
64-65°F
$470 Vol.
18%
66-67°F
$387 Vol.
32%
68-69°F
$631 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$689 Vol.
20%
72-73°F
$637 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$868 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$1,196 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket's closely matched leading outcomes—66-67°F at 31.5% and 68-69°F at 29.0%—mirrors the National Weather Service's latest forecast high near 67°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) for April 17, shaped by persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer limiting burn-off. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF over the past 24 hours show tight clustering around upper 60s, with minor divergences tied to stratus deck persistence and light west winds of 5-10 mph inhibiting inland heat advection. Typical mid-April climatology supports these mild highs, averaging 64-66°F historically, though full clearing could nudge toward 70°F; watch morning observations and afternoon updates for resolution as diurnal heating peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volume
$11,361Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket's closely matched leading outcomes—66-67°F at 31.5% and 68-69°F at 29.0%—mirrors the National Weather Service's latest forecast high near 67°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) for April 17, shaped by persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer limiting burn-off. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF over the past 24 hours show tight clustering around upper 60s, with minor divergences tied to stratus deck persistence and light west winds of 5-10 mph inhibiting inland heat advection. Typical mid-April climatology supports these mild highs, averaging 64-66°F historically, though full clearing could nudge toward 70°F; watch morning observations and afternoon updates for resolution as diurnal heating peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,361Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's closely matched leading outcomes—66-67°F at 31.5% and 68-69°F at 29.0%—mirrors the National Weather Service's latest forecast high near 67°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) for April 17, shaped by persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer limiting burn-off. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF over the past 24 hours show tight clustering around upper 60s, with minor divergences tied to stratus deck persistence and light west winds of 5-10 mph inhibiting inland heat advection. Typical mid-April climatology supports these mild highs, averaging 64-66°F historically, though full clearing could nudge toward 70°F; watch morning observations and afternoon updates for resolution as diurnal heating peaks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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