Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60.5% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 18°C or higher on April 17, driven by an ongoing unseasonal mid-April heatwave fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering warm southerly winds across the Korean Peninsula. Recent observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) confirm this anomaly, with Seoul logging 28°C highs on April 13—the year's hottest—and sustained above-average warmth through April 16 around 21-23°C under partly cloudy skies. KMA short-term forecasts and ensemble models project daytime highs of 17-19°C tomorrow amid light winds and low precipitation risk (under 50%), aligning with the clustering of odds at 18°C+ (60.5%) and 17°C (18.5%). A potential frontal boundary could introduce clouds and cap peaks near 16-17°C, with final KMA updates expected later today resolving remaining uncertainty. Historical April averages hover at 17°C, underscoring the current warm departure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul il 17 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul il 17 aprile?
18°C or higher 60%
17°C 19%
16°C 17%
15°C 4.5%
$42,321 Vol.
$42,321 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
17%
17°C
19%
18°C or higher
60%
18°C or higher 60%
17°C 19%
16°C 17%
15°C 4.5%
$42,321 Vol.
$42,321 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
17%
17°C
19%
18°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60.5% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 18°C or higher on April 17, driven by an ongoing unseasonal mid-April heatwave fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering warm southerly winds across the Korean Peninsula. Recent observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) confirm this anomaly, with Seoul logging 28°C highs on April 13—the year's hottest—and sustained above-average warmth through April 16 around 21-23°C under partly cloudy skies. KMA short-term forecasts and ensemble models project daytime highs of 17-19°C tomorrow amid light winds and low precipitation risk (under 50%), aligning with the clustering of odds at 18°C+ (60.5%) and 17°C (18.5%). A potential frontal boundary could introduce clouds and cap peaks near 16-17°C, with final KMA updates expected later today resolving remaining uncertainty. Historical April averages hover at 17°C, underscoring the current warm departure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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