Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (37.5% implied probability) and 21°C (32%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 at Pudong International Airport, reflecting tight clustering in latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting daytime highs of 20-23°C under cloudy skies with shower risks. Recent actuals—17.6°C at Xujiahui on April 14 and around 18°C on April 15—highlight cooling from persistent moisture advection and frontal influences suppressing insolation, while southerly winds promote mild advection near climatological April norms of 19°C. Key differentiators include timing of any cloud breaks for solar heating, urban heat effects at the airport station, and 80-90% precipitation odds per sources like AccuWeather; hourly updates from official stations expected through tomorrow could shift the balance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 17 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 17 aprile?
20°C 35%
21°C 30%
19°C 16%
22°C 10.2%
NUOVO
$22,346 Vol.
NUOVO
$22,346 Vol.
17 apr 2026
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
16%
20°C
35%
21°C
30%
22°C
10%
23°C o superiore
6%
20°C 35%
21°C 30%
19°C 16%
22°C 10.2%
NUOVO
$22,346 Vol.
NUOVO
$22,346 Vol.
17 apr 2026
13°C o inferiore
$3,588 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,972 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,883 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,429 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,251 Vol.
2%
18°C
$1,549 Vol.
5%
19°C
$1,246 Vol.
16%
20°C
$1,697 Vol.
35%
21°C
$822 Vol.
30%
22°C
$1,633 Vol.
10%
23°C o superiore
$2,303 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (37.5% implied probability) and 21°C (32%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 at Pudong International Airport, reflecting tight clustering in latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting daytime highs of 20-23°C under cloudy skies with shower risks. Recent actuals—17.6°C at Xujiahui on April 14 and around 18°C on April 15—highlight cooling from persistent moisture advection and frontal influences suppressing insolation, while southerly winds promote mild advection near climatological April norms of 19°C. Key differentiators include timing of any cloud breaks for solar heating, urban heat effects at the airport station, and 80-90% precipitation odds per sources like AccuWeather; hourly updates from official stations expected through tomorrow could shift the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$22,346Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (37.5% implied probability) and 21°C (32%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 at Pudong International Airport, reflecting tight clustering in latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting daytime highs of 20-23°C under cloudy skies with shower risks. Recent actuals—17.6°C at Xujiahui on April 14 and around 18°C on April 15—highlight cooling from persistent moisture advection and frontal influences suppressing insolation, while southerly winds promote mild advection near climatological April norms of 19°C. Key differentiators include timing of any cloud breaks for solar heating, urban heat effects at the airport station, and 80-90% precipitation odds per sources like AccuWeather; hourly updates from official stations expected through tomorrow could shift the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,346Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (37.5% implied probability) and 21°C (32%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 at Pudong International Airport, reflecting tight clustering in latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting daytime highs of 20-23°C under cloudy skies with shower risks. Recent actuals—17.6°C at Xujiahui on April 14 and around 18°C on April 15—highlight cooling from persistent moisture advection and frontal influences suppressing insolation, while southerly winds promote mild advection near climatological April norms of 19°C. Key differentiators include timing of any cloud breaks for solar heating, urban heat effects at the airport station, and 80-90% precipitation odds per sources like AccuWeather; hourly updates from official stations expected through tomorrow could shift the balance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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