US special forces conducted a targeted raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro amid escalating sanctions and military buildup in the Caribbean, marking the first direct US military entry. Defense officials stated no large-scale troop deployment was planned post-operation, yet a US Navy blockade persists off Venezuela's coast, with reports of increasing presence including convoys in Caracas and operations from nearby Trinidad as of early April. No verified new ground entries have occurred in the past 30 days, as trader consensus reflects focus on interim governance under US oversight, oil resource access, and transition timelines toward elections, amid regional diplomatic concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,281,982 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
June 30
10%
$1,281,982 Vol.
June 30
$197,219 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces conducted a targeted raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro amid escalating sanctions and military buildup in the Caribbean, marking the first direct US military entry. Defense officials stated no large-scale troop deployment was planned post-operation, yet a US Navy blockade persists off Venezuela's coast, with reports of increasing presence including convoys in Caracas and operations from nearby Trinidad as of early April. No verified new ground entries have occurred in the past 30 days, as trader consensus reflects focus on interim governance under US oversight, oil resource access, and transition timelines toward elections, amid regional diplomatic concerns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,281,982End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces conducted a targeted raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro amid escalating sanctions and military buildup in the Caribbean, marking the first direct US military entry. Defense officials stated no large-scale troop deployment was planned post-operation, yet a US Navy blockade persists off Venezuela's coast, with reports of increasing presence including convoys in Caracas and operations from nearby Trinidad as of early April. No verified new ground entries have occurred in the past 30 days, as trader consensus reflects focus on interim governance under US oversight, oil resource access, and transition timelines toward elections, amid regional diplomatic concerns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,281,982End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces conducted a targeted raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro amid escalating sanctions and military buildup in the Caribbean, marking the first direct US military entry. Defense officials stated no large-scale troop deployment was planned post-operation, yet a US Navy blockade persists off Venezuela's coast, with reports of increasing presence including convoys in Caracas and operations from nearby Trinidad as of early April. No verified new ground entries have occurred in the past 30 days, as trader consensus reflects focus on interim governance under US oversight, oil resource access, and transition timelines toward elections, amid regional diplomatic concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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